Sunday, October 21, 2018

Washington State Companies Earnings On Absolute Fire and With That Very Rare Quality in the Second Quarter of 2018 ….. Accelerated Exceptional Earnings Growth ….. Led By Microsoft and Amazon ..............................................................................

Total Pretax Earnings Increased By 33% in the Second Quarter of 2018
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Total Pretax Earnings Increased By 24% in the First Quarter of 2018
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But you know what, Washington State Companies Total Earnings Growth in the past decade have been just as good, if not better, than that in the first half of 2018.

How could that be?

Well, Washington State Companies Total Net Income in 2016, Obama's last year in office, increased by 14% from that in 2015, which increased by another 26% over that in 2014.

And the reported total earnings growth of 14% in 2016 would have exceeded that in 2015 of 26% if not for two one-offs:  PACCAR's European Commission Earnings Charge of $833 Mil in 2017 and Expedia's Gain on Sale of Business of $509 Mil in 2016.

And more importantly, Washington State Companies, exclusive of Tech Giant Microsoft, had their Total After-Tax Net Income increase by 653% During the Obama Administration, going from $2.277 Bil in 2008, the Bush Administration's Last Year in Office, to $17.135 Bil in 2016, the Obama Administration's Last Year in Office.

Microsoft generated After-Tax Net Income of a whopping $14.6 Bil in 2008 and mathematically it is impossible to grow those earnings by a high percentage over the following 8 years when you are starting with such a huge base.   
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From a review of US SEC filings, there were 33 Companies headquartered in Washington State with stock market caps of more than $1 Bil several months ago.

From a review of SEC filings, the chart below shows the Gold-Standard US GAAP Pretax Income (Loss) From Continuing Operations for the Second and First Quarters of both 2018 and 2017 for these 33 fine Washington State Companies.
US US US US
GAAP GAAP GAAP GAAP
Pretax Pretax Pretax Pretax
Income Income Income Income
(Loss) (Loss) (Loss) (Loss)
June Qtr June Qtr Better Mar Qtr Mar Qtr Better
July Qtr July Qtr (Worse) Apr Qtr Apr Qtr (Worse)
Washington State Companies or Aug Qtr or Aug Qtr % or May Qtr or May Qtr %
Market Caps Above $1 Bil 2018 2017  Change 2018 2017  Change
mils $ mils $ mils $ mils $
Microsoft            10,680              7,958 34%          8,641            7,094 22%
Amazon.com              2,608                 664 293%          1,916               953 101%
Boeing              2,586              2,462 5%          2,839            2,145 32%
Costco              1,449              1,419 2%          1,071               965 11%
T-Mobile US              1,068                 934 14%             881               607 45%
Starbucks              1,027              1,052 -2%             816               981 -17%
Paccar                 720                 539 34%             669               448 49%
Weyerhaeuser                 382                   58 559%             299               181 65%
Fortive Corp                 356                 326 9%             313               272 15%
Alaska Air Group                 259                 474 -45%                 6               142 -96%
Nordstrom                 218                 188             125               103
Expeditors Intl Washington                 190                 174             198               149
F5 Networks                 154                 142             146               140
Seattle Genetics                   76                 (56) 236%            (112)               (60) -87%
Washington Federal                   64                   65               65                 63
Potlatch Deltic                   58                   33               20                 19
Columbia Banking System                   52                   38               47                 40
Banner Corp                   42                   38               37                 36
Esterline Technologies                   41                   43               26                 48
Avista                   31                   35               66                 95
Mercer Intl                   25                     6               35                 17
TrueBlue                   20                   18               10                   7
Heritage Financial                   14                   16               10                 12
Itron                     8                   32            (156)                 25 -87%
nLight                     6                     1                 4                 -  
Redfin                     3                     4              (36)               (28)
Apptio                   (6)                   (7)                (8)                 (7)
Cray Inc                 (11)                 (10)              (25)               (30)
Smartsheet                 (12)                 (23)              (14)                 (7)
Zillow Group                 (14)                 (22)              (16)                 (5)
Tableau Software                 (14)                 (41) 66%              (49)               (52)
Expedia                 (14)                   57 -125%            (169)             (131) -29%
Alder Biopharmaceuticals                 (68)                 (75)              (87)             (100)
Total all 33 Washington State Companies            21,998            16,542 33%        17,568          14,122 24%

Also from a review of SEC filings, the chart below shows the Gold-Standard US GAAP Audited After-Tax Net Income (Loss) From Continuing Operations for Annual Fiscal Year Ended (FYE) 2016, 2015, 2014 and 2008, spanning the entire Obama Administration, for the 25 Washington State Companies which reported both their 2016 and 2008 Pretax Income (Loss) to the SEC.  Spokane Utility Company Avista was not included below.
Obama Bush
Last Last
Year Year
in in
Office Office
2016 2015 2014 2008
Audited Audited Audited Audited
After-Tax After-Tax After-Tax After-Tax
Net Net Net Net
Washington State Companies City State 2016 Income Income Income Income
Stock Market Caps Above $1 Bil HQs HQs FYE (Loss) (Loss) (Loss) (Loss)
 $ mils  $ mils  $ mils  $ mils
Microsoft Redmond WA Jun 17          21,204          16,798       12,193       14,569
Boeing Seattle WA Dec 16            4,895            5,176         5,446         2,654
Starbucks Seattle WA Sep 16            2,819            2,759         2,068            316
Costco Issaquah WA Aug 16            2,376            2,409         2,088         1,283
Amazon Seattle WA Dec 16            2,371               596           (241)            645
T-Mobile US Bellevue WA Dec 16            1,460               733            247            149
Alaska Air Group Seattle WA Dec 16               814               848            605           (136)
PACCAR Bellevue WA Dec 16               522            1,604         1,359         1,018
Expeditors Intl Washington Seattle WA Dec 16               433               459            379            303
Weyerhauser Federal Way WA Dec 16               415               411            616        (1,909)
F5 Networks Seattle WA Sep 16               366               365            311              74
Nordstrom Seattle WA Jan 17               354               600            720            401
Expedia Bellevue WA Dec 16               261               723            373        (2,521)
Washington Federal Seattle WA Sep 16               164               160            157              62
Esterline Technologies Bellevue WA Sep 16               118               128            166            114
Columbia Banking System Tacoma WA Dec 16               105                 99              82                6
Banner Corp Walla Walla WA Dec 16                 85                 45              54           (128)
Heritage Financial Olympia WA Dec 16                 39                 37              21                6
Itron Inc Liberty Lake WA Dec 16                 35                 15             (22)              20
Potlatch Corp Spokane WA Dec 16                 11                 32              90              73
Cray Inc Seattle WA Dec 16                 11                 28              62             (41)
Trueblue Inc Tacoma WA Dec 16               (15)                 71              66               (4)
Seattle Genetics Bothell WA Dec 16             (140)             (120)             (76)             (86)
Tableau Software Seattle WA Dec 16             (144)               (84)                6               (1)
Zillow Group Inc Seattle WA Dec 16             (220)             (149)             (44)             (21)
Total all 24 Cos But Microsoft
         17,135          16,945       14,533         2,277
…Total Net Income % Increase: 2016 Above 2008
653%
Total all 25 Washington State Companies
         38,339          33,743       26,726       16,846
….. Total Net Income % Increase: 2016 Above 2015 14%
….. Total Net Income % Increase: 2015 Above 2014 26%