Thursday, October 18, 2018

Minnesota Companies Pretax Earnings Were Up By 3.5% in the First Half of 2018, and Excluding the Giant UnitedHealth Group, Whose Pretax Earnings Grew By 16%, the Other 40 Minnesota Companies Pretax Earnings Were Precisely Flat

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But for a bit of good news from a historic perspective, Minnesota Companies had their Total After-Tax Earnings increase By 104% During the Obama Administration from Annual 2008 to Annual 2016.

At first glance, that doesn't seem like much over an 8 year period.  And nearly every other US State I researched had higher earnings growth rates.

But you have to look at the details to understand what really happened here.

Minnesota is blessed with having very resilient Companies.

Nearly every other US State had their State's Total Companies Earnings just crushed in 2008 with the US financial meltdown.

In Minnesota's case, its Total Companies Earnings dropped by only 36% in 2008  from 2007 with the US financial meltdown.  This 36% decline was lower than that of any other US State's Companies decline that I can think of, and by a significant amount.

Thus Minnesota's 2008 Total Base Companies Earnings weren't nearly as low as that of other US State's Companies.

Because of Minnesota Companies much higher 2008 Base Total Earnings, it only makes sense that Minnesota Companies Total Earnings will not increase nearly as much from 2008 to 2016 as that of other US State's Companies.

The fact of the matter is that in the year after the 2008 US financial meltdown, Minnesota Companies Total Earnings increased by 44% in 2009.  And Minnesota Companies Total Earnings in 2012 exceeded by 9% its previously high 2007 pre-US financial meltdown Total Earnings.  Also, this widened from 9% to 29% higher by 2016 as compared to 2007. 

Overall, I feel pretty good about how Minnesota Companies came out of the 2008 US financial meltdown.  
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From a review of US SEC filings, there were 41 Companies headquartered effectively in Minnesota with stock market caps or Total Equity of more than $1 Bil recently.

From a review of SEC filings, the chart below shows the Gold-Standard US GAAP Pretax Income (Loss) From Continuing Operations for the First Half of 2018 and 2017 for these 41 Minnesota Companies.

US US
GAAP GAAP
Pretax Pretax
Income Income
(Loss) (Loss)
6 Months 6 Months
Ended Ended
June June Better
July July (Worse)
Minnesota Companies or Aug or Aug %
Market Caps Above $1 Bil 2018 2017  Change
mils $ mils $
UnitedHealth Group              7,584              6,560 16%
US Bancorp              4,243              4,048 5%
3M              3,315              3,879 -15%
Medtronic plc              2,905              2,630 10%
Target              1,949              2,007 -3%
Travelers Companies              1,409              1,550 -9%
Ameriprise Financial              1,244                 986 26%
General Mills                 952              1,137 -16%
Ecolab                 775                 688
XCEL Energy                 669                 685
Wells Fargo Real Estate Investment Corp                 626                 577
Best Buy                 586                 602
Hormel Foods                 555                 594
Fastenal                 498                 446
CH Robinson Worldwide                 395                 351
Toro Co                 262                 246
Graco                 212                 177
Donaldson Co                 203                 176
Polaris Industries                 187                   92
TCF Financial                 177                 159
Pentair plc                 172                   27
Deluxe                 162                 170
Two Harbors                 133                     3
nVent Electric plc                 115                 154
HB Fuller                 105                   71
Bio-Techne                   81                   69
ALLETE                   73                 106
Mosaic                   62                   84
Otter Tail                   52                   49
Apogee Enterprises                   47                   50
Proto Labs                   45                   36
Capella Education                   34                   33
Sleep Number                   27                   33
Patterson Cos                   25                 133
Tennant                   17                   (7)
Piper Jaffray                   13                   43
SPS Commerce                   11                     7
Cardiovascular Systems                     4                   (1)
Stratasys Ltd                 (16)                 (18)
Ceridian HCM Holding                 (50)                 (32)
Northern Oil & Gas                 (94)                   31
SUPERVALU Inc               (117)                   19
Total all 40 Minnesota Cos (No UnitedHealth Group)            22,063            22,090 -0.1%
Total all 41 Minnesota Companies            29,647            28,650 3.5%

Also from a review of SEC filings, the chart below shows the Gold-Standard US GAAP Audited After-Tax Net Income (Loss) From Continuing Operations for Annual 2016, 2015, 2012, 2009, 2008 and 2007, spanning the entire Obama Administration and then some, for the 45 Minnesota Companies which reported both their 2016 and 2008 After-Tax Net Income (Loss) to the SEC and also which had stock market caps or Total Equity of more than $1 Bil.

2016 2015 2012 2009 2008 2007
Audited Audited Audited Audited Audited Audited
Net Net Net Net Net Net
Minnesota Companies City State 2016 Income Income Income Income Income Income
Market Caps Above $1 Bil HQs HQs FYE (Loss) (Loss) (Loss) (Loss) (Loss) (Loss)
 $ mils  $ mils  $ mils  $ mils  $ mils  $ mils
UnitedHealth Group Minnetonka MN Dec16         7,017         5,813         5,526         3,822         2,977         4,654
US Bancorp Minneapolis MN Dec16         5,944         5,933         5,490         2,237         3,012         4,403
3M St Paul MN Dec16         5,050         4,833         4,444         3,193         3,460         4,096
Medtronic plc Minneapolis MN Apr17         4,024         3,538         3,467         3,083         2,088         2,152
Travelers Cos St Paul MN Dec16         3,014         3,439         2,473         3,622         2,924         4,601
Target Corp Minneapolis MN Jan17         2,669         3,321         3,315         2,488         2,214         2,849
General Mills Minneapolis MN May17         1,658         1,697         1,855         1,531         1,304         1,295
Ameriprise Financial Minneapolis MN Dec16         1,314         1,687            899            736           (100)            813
Ecolab St Paul MN Dec16         1,247         1,017            701            419            448            429
Best Buy Richfield MN Jan17         1,207            807           (259)         1,495         1,150         1,426
XCEL Energy Minneapolis MN Dec16         1,123            984            905            686            646            576
Hormel Foods Austin MN Oct16            891            687            505            346            289            304
Allianz Life Insurance Co of North America Minneapolis MN Dec16            788            600             (42)            406        (1,094)               -  
Wells Fargo Real Estate Investment Corp Minneapolis MN Dec16            784            646            143               -                 -                 -  
CH Robinson Worldwide Eden Prairie MN Dec16            513            510            594            361            359            324
Fastenal Winona MN Dec16            499            516            421            184            280            233
Pentair PLC Golden Valley MN Dec16            452            397             (21)            116            256            212
Two Harbors Minnetonka MN Dec16            353            492            287               (9)                2                1
Valspar Corp Minneapolis MN Oct16            353            400            292            160            151            172
Mosaic Plymouth MN Dec16            301         1,002         1,931         2,357         2,092            424
nVent Electric plc St Louis Park MN Dec16            259            210  SEP   SEP   SEP   SEP 
Toro Co Bloomington MN Oct16            231            202            130              63            120            142
Deluxe Corp Shoreview MN Dec16            229            219            170              99            106            145
Polaris Industries Medina MN Dec16            213            455            312            101            117            113
TCF Financial Corp Wayzata MN Dec16            212            197           (213)              94            113            272
Donaldson Co Inc Minneapolis MN Jul16            191            208            264            132            172            151
Patterson Companies St Paul MN Apr17            174            186            165            212            200            225
ALLETE Duluth MN Dec16            156            142              97              61              83              90
HB Fuller St Paul MN Nov16            124              88              68              84              19            101
OneBeacon Insurance Group Plymouth MN Dec16            109              38              97            377           (372)            245
Buffalo Wild Wings Minneapolis MN Dec16              94              95              57              31              24              20
Apogee Enterprises Inc Minneapolis MN Feb17              86              65              19              31              51              43
BIO-TECHNE Corp Minneapolis MN Jun17              76            104            113            110            105            104
Otter Tail Fergus Falls MN Dec16              62              59              46              25              33              47
Select Comfort Corp Minneapolis MN Dec16              51              51              78              36             (70)              28
Tennant Company Minneapolis MN Dec16              47              32              42             (26)              11              40
Proto Labs Inc Maple Plain MN Dec16              43              47              24                4                7                6
Capella Education Minneapolis MN Dec16              42              44              42              43              29              23
Graco Inc Minneapolis MN Dec16              41            346            149              49            121            153
SUPERVALU Inc Eden Prairie MN Feb17              27              84           (418)            393        (2,855)            593
SPS Commerce Minneapolis MN Dec16                6                5                1                1               (2)               (2)
Cardiovascular Systems St Paul MN Jun17               (2)             (56)             (24)             (24)             (32)             (59)
Piper Jaffray Companies Minneapolis MN Dec16             (14)              58              50              30           (185)              25
Stratasys Ltd Eden Prairie MN Dec16             (78)        (1,374)                9                4              14              26
Northern Oil & Gas Minnetonka MN Dec16           (293)           (975)              72                3                2               (4)
Total all 45 Minnesota Cos       41,287       38,849       34,276       29,166       20,269       31,491
2016 Total Earnings % Above:
….. 2015 Earnings 6%
….. 2008 Earnings 104%
2008 Total Earnings % Below 2007 -36%
2009 Total Earnings % Above 2008 44%
2012 Total Earnings % Above 2007 9%
2016 Total Earnings % Above 2007 31%