Wednesday, October 10, 2018

California San Francisco/Silicon Valley Area Companies Total Pretax Earnings in Fiscal Year End 2017 Were Up 14.4% Over 2016, But You Have To Break It Down To Understand What Really Happened Here: The Good, the Bad and the Ugly ......................................................................................

From a review of company SEC filings, there were 193 San Francisco/Silicon Valley Area Companies with stock market caps above $1 Bil recently which generated Audited Total Pretax Income (PTI) From Continuing Operations in Fiscal Year Ended (FYE) 2017 of $276 Bil, Up 14.4% from that in FYE 2016 of $241 Bil.  On first glance, that seems Good ..... But .....

Of those 193 Total Companies, 98 of them were Technology Companies which generated Audited Total Pretax Income From Continuing Operations in Fiscal Year Ended (FYE) 2017 of $204.7 Bil, a huge 74% of Total PTI for all 193 Companies, and Up 22% from that in FYE 2016 of $167.5 Bil.  On first glance, that seems Really Good ..... But there are some qualifiers .....

Of the 98 Technology Companies, 55 or more than half of them were Software and Services Companies which generated Audited Total Pretax Income From Continuing Operations in Fiscal Year Ended (FYE) 2017 of $83.2 Bil, Up 30% from that in FYE 2016 of $63.8 Bil.  This seems Really Good, especially since Software and Services Revenues tend to more recurring than are manufacturing revenues.

The Giant Apple's PTI Growth in FYE 2017 was only 4% ..... That's not so good, but hopefully it will pick up some in the future, especially with its at least somewhat growing service revenue mix.

Of the 98 Technology Companies, 22 of them were Semiconductor Companies which generated Audited Total Pretax Income From Continuing Operations in Fiscal Year Ended (FYE) 2017 of $31.3 Bil, Up a Blistering 85% from that in FYE 2016 of $16.9 Bil.  This is Outstanding, but the risk is that such high PTI growth as 85% cannot continue for very long, or even at all.

And of the 98 Technology Cos, 30 of them were Other Manufacturing Cos which generated Audited Total Pretax Income From Continuing Operations in Fiscal Year Ended (FYE) 2017 which was precisely flat from that in FYE 2016.  This is clearly Not Good and this group contains some struggling Technology Companies.

Of the 193 Total Companies, 2 of them are Oil & Gas-Related Companies, including the Giant Chevron, whose PTI in FYE 2017 increased by a massive $11.4 Bil or by an Off-the-Charts 527% from that in the FYE 2016.  That earnings growth is fantastic but it can't continue at that level and also these high oil & gas prices are putting a lot of financial pressure on the margins of many companies and on many consumers all over the US.

And lastly, there were 93 Companies in numerous Sectors other than Technology and Oil & Gas, and they generated Audited Total Pretax Income From Continuing Operations in Fiscal Year Ended (FYE) 2017 of $61.8 Bil, down sharply by 17% from that in FYE 2016 of $74.2 Bil. Especially troubling here were the Health Care Companies and, to a somewhat lesser degree, the Financial Companies.  Overall, an Ugly operating performance by Companies in this category.

From a review of SEC filings, the chart below shows the Audited Gold-Standard US GAAP Pretax Income (Loss) From Continuing Operations for the Years Ended 2017 and 2016 for these 193 California San Fran/Silicon Valley Area Companies.

Year Year
2017 2016
Audited Audited
Pretax Pretax
Income Income
(Loss) (Loss)
From From
San Fran Area/Silicon Valley Companies City State 2017 Continuing Continuing Better
Stock Market Caps Above $1 Bil HQs HQs FYE Operations Operations (Worse)
 $ mils  $ mils %
Technology Companies
Software and Services 
Alphabet (Google) Mountain View CA Dec 17          27,193          24,150 13%
Facebook Menlo Park CA Dec 17          20,594          12,518 65%
Oracle Redwood City CA May 18          12,891          11,517 12%
Visa San Francisco CA Sep 17          11,694            8,012 46%
eBay Inc San Jose CA Dec 17            2,276            3,651 -38%
PayPal Holdings San Jose CA Dec 17            2,200            1,631 35%
Adobe Systems San Jose CA Nov 17            2,138            1,435 49%
VMware Palo Alto CA Jan 18            1,801            1,473 22%
Electronic Arts Redwood City CA Mar 18            1,449            1,210 20%
Intuit Mountain View CA Jul 17            1,367            1,203 14%
Check Point Software San Carlos CA Dec 17               971               897 8%
Netflix Los Gatos CA Dec 17               485               261 86%
Symantec Mountain View CA Mar 18               441             (262) 268%
Synopsys Mountain View CA Oct 17               383               330 16%
Cadence Design Systems San Jose CA Dec 17               315               237 33%
Salesforce.com San Francisco CA Jan 18               202                 25 708%
Yelp Inc San Francisco CA Dec 17               184                 (3) NM
Veeva Systems Pleasanton CA Jan 18               159               110 45%
Fair Isaac Corp San Jose CA Sep 17               151               145 4%
Financial Engines Inc Sunnyvale CA Dec 17                 87                 49 78%
Ellie Mae Inc Pleasanton CA Dec 17                 45                 57 -21%
Qualys Inc Redwood Shores CA Dec 17                 39                 30 30%
Zynga Inc San Francisco CA Dec 17                 38             (105) 136%
Guideware Software Foster City CA Jul 17                 33                 21 57%
Imperva Redwood Shores CA Dec 17                 23               (69) 133%
Five9 San Ramon CA Dec 17                 (9)               (12)
Quotient Technology Inc Mountain View CA Dec 17               (16)               (19)
Chegg Inc Santa Clara CA Dec 17               (18)               (41)
Callidus Software Inc Dublin CA Dec 17               (20)               (18)
RingCentral Inc Belmont CA Dec 17               (26)               (29)
Talend SA Redwood City CA Dec 17               (31)               (24)
8X8 Inc San Jose CA Mar 18               (38)                 (5)
Coupa Software San Mateo CA Jan 18               (42)               (37)
New Relic San Francisco CA Mar 18               (44)               (61)
Zuora San Mateo CA Jan 18               (46)               (39)
DocuSign San Francisco CA Jan 18               (49)             (115)
Square San Francisco CA Dec 17               (63)             (170)
Twilio San Francisco CA Dec 17               (63)               (41)
Roku Saratoga CA Dec 17               (63)               (43)
Atlassian Corporation PLC San Francisco CA Jun 18               (66)               (60)
Proofpoint Sunnyvale CA Dec 17               (94)             (110)
Twitter San Francisco CA Dec 17               (95)             (441)
Dropbox San Francisco CA Dec 17             (112)             (205)
Zendesk San Francisco CA Dec 17             (112)             (103)
Okta San Francisco CA Jan 18             (115)               (83)
ServiceNow Santa Clara CA Dec 17             (149)             (450)
LendingClub Corp San Francisco CA Dec 17             (153)             (150)
Box Inc Redwood City CA Jan 18             (154)             (151)
Pivotal Software Palo Alto CA Jan 18             (166)             (230)
Hortonworks Santa Clara CA Dec 17             (202)             (250)
Splunk San Francisco CA Jan 18             (258)             (350)
Workday Pleasanton CA Jan 18             (315)             (386)
Cloudera Palo Alto CA Jan 18             (384)             (185)
Pandora Media Oakland CA Dec 17             (519)             (343)
Autodesk San Rafael CA Jan 18             (557)             (524)
Total all 55 Software and Services Cos          83,180          63,848 30%
Apple Cupertino CA Sep 17          64,089          61,372 4%
Semiconductors
Intel Santa Clara CA Dec 17          20,352          12,936 57%
Applied Materials Santa Clara CA Oct 17            3,731            2,013 85%
NVIDIA Corp Santa Clara CA Jan 18            3,196            1,905 68%
Broadcom Ltd San Jose CA Oct 17            1,825          (1,107) 265%
Maxim Integrated Products San Jose CA Jun 18               825               680 21%
Xilinx San Jose CA Mar 18               750               691 9%
Marvell Technology Group Santa Clara CA Jan 18               451               147 207%
Integrated Device Technology San Jose CA Mar 18                 92                 99 -7%
Monolithic Power Systems San Jose CA Dec 17                 83                 57 46%
Oclaro San Jose CA Jun 18                 75               103 -27%
Advanced Micro Devices Sunnyvale CA Dec 17                 62             (458) 114%
Power Integrations Inc San Jose CA Dec 17                 60                 50 20%
Rambus Inc Sunnyvale CA Dec 17                 41                 23 78%
OSI Systems Hawthorne CA Jun 18                 37                 26 42%
Ambarella Santa Clara CA Jan 18                 26                 61 -57%
Cypress Semiconductor San Jose CA Dec 17                   2             (664) 100%
Finisar Corp Sunnyvale CA Apr 18               (15)               163
Mellanox Technologies Ltd Sunnyvale CA Dec 17               (22)                 24
Viavi Solutions Inc Milpitas CA Jun 18               (33)               187
Synaptics Inc San Jose CA Jun 18               (84)                 61
Cavium Inc San Jose CA Dec 17               (86)             (146)
Inphi Corp Sunnyvale CA Dec 17               (96)                 11
Total all 22 Semiconductor Cos          31,272          16,862 85%
Other Technology Manufacturing Cos
Cisco Systems San Jose CA Jul 17          12,287          12,920 -5%
HP Inc Palo Alto CA Oct 17            3,276            3,761 -13%
Lam Research Fremont CA Jun 18            3,152            1,812 74%
Western Digital San Jose CA Jun 18            2,085               769 171%
KLA-Tencor Milpitas CA Jun 18            1,456            1,173 24%
Seagate Technology Cupertino CA Jun 18            1,418               815 74%
NetApp Sunnyvale CA Apr 18            1,166               665 75%
Juniper Networks Sunnyvale CA Dec 17               812               827 -2%
Arista Networks Inc Santa Clara CA Dec 17               475               242 96%
Coherent inc Santa Clara CA Sep 17               302               123 146%
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Palo Alto CA Oct 17               272            3,860 -93%
Logitech Intl SA Newark CA Mar 18               232               215 8%
Fortinet Sunnyvale CA Dec 17               124                 43 188%
Electronics For Imaging Fremont CA Dec 17                 12                 39 -69%
Omnicell Inc Mountain View CA Dec 17                 (1)                 (2)
ForeScout Technologies San Jose CA Dec 17               (89)               (74)
Pure Storage Mountain View CA Jan 18             (174)             (243)
Palo Alto Networks Santa Clara CA Jul 17             (194)             (172)
Fitbit San Francisco CA Dec 17             (195)             (109)
FireEye  Milpitas CA Dec 17             (299)             (489)
Total all 20 Other Technology Manufacturing Cos          26,117          26,175 0%
Total all 98 Technology Companies        204,658        168,257 22%
Oil & Gas Companies
Chevron San Ramon CA Dec 17            9,221          (2,160) 527%
United States Oil Fund LP Oakland CA Dec 17                 79               667
Total 2 Oil & Gas Companies            9,300          (1,493) 723%
All Cos But Technology and Oil & Gas Cos
Wells Fargo San Francisco CA Dec 17          27,377          32,120 -15%
Gilead Sciences Foster City CA Dec 17          13,529          17,097 -21%
Charles Schwab San Francisco CA Dec 17            3,650            2,993 22%
Franklin Resources San Mateo CA Sep 17            2,549            2,500 2%
PG&E Corp San Francisco CA Dec 17            2,171            1,462 48%
Ross Stores Dublin CA Jan 18            2,041            1,786 14%
Prologis San Francisco CA Dec 17            1,816            1,347 35%
The Gap San Francisco CA Jan 18            1,424            1,124 27%
Intuitive Surgical Sunnyvale CA Dec 17            1,097               981 12%
Clorox Oakland CA Jun 18            1,054            1,033 2%
First Republic Bank San Francisco CA Dec 17               912               828 10%
SVB Financial Group Santa Clara CA Dec 17               875               641 37%
Agilent Technologies Santa Clara CA Oct 17               803               544 48%
Flex Ltd San Jose CA Mar 18               521               371 40%
Robert Half Intl Menlo Park CA Dec 17               518               554 -6%
Essex Property Trust San Mateo CA Dec 17               458               443 3%
Williams-Sonoma San Francisco CA Jan 18               452               472 -4%
Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc Palo Alto CA Dec 17               440               532 -17%
Cooper Companies Pleasanton CA Oct 17               394               296 33%
Align Technology San Jose CA Dec 17               368               244 51%
Varian Medical Systems Palo Alto CA Sep 17               345               441 -22%
Ubiquiti Networks Inc San Jose CA Jun 18               314               285 10%
Equinix Redwood City CA Dec 17               287               160 79%
Digital Realty Trust San Francisco CA Dec 17               264               442 -40%
Trimble Navigation Ltd Sunnyvale CA Dec 17               259               177 46%
DLB Laboratories San Francisco CA Sep 17               257               236 9%
McKesson San Francisco CA Mar 18               239            6,891 -97%
Sanmina Corp San Jose CA Sep 18               213               205 4%
TriNet Group Inc San Leandro CA Dec 17               200               104 92%
Keysight Technologies Inc Santa Rosa CA Oct 17               179               366 -51%
Corporate Capital Trust San Francisco CA Dec 17               177               244 -27%
Exelixis Inc Alameda CA Dec 17               159               (70) 327%
Redwood Trust Inc Mill Valley CA Dec 17               152               135 13%
Simpson Manufacturing Pleasanton CA Dec 17               144               139 4%
Innoviva Brisbane CA Dec 17               134                 60 123%
Lumentum Holdings Milpitas CA Jun 18               129               (60) 315%
Central Garden & Pet Co Walnut Creek CA Sep 17               126                 70 80%
SYNNEX Corp Fremont CA Nov 17               465               356 31%
Granite Construction Watsonville CA Dec 17               104                 96 8%
California Water Service Group San Jose CA Dec 17               101                 76 33%
Bio-Rad Laboratories Hercules CA Dec 17                 98                 42 133%
SJW Group San Jose CA Dec 17                 96                 86 12%
TPG Real Estate Finance Trust San Francisco CA Dec 17                 94                 70 34%
NetGear San Jose CA Dec 17                 91               115 -21%
Westamerica Bancorporation San Rafael CA Dec 17                 87                 80 9%
Exponent Inc Menlo Park CA Dec 17                 83                 69 20%
McGrath Rent Livermore CA Dec 17                 83                 67 24%
Hercules Capital Palo Alto CA Dec 17                 79                 69 14%
Four Corners Property Trust Mill Valley CA Dec 17                 72                 77 -6%
Fox Factory Holding Corp Scotts Valley CA Dec 17                 64                 43 49%
Terreno Realty Corp San Francisco CA Dec 17                 53                 15 253%
Corcept Therapeutics Inc Menlo Park CA Dec 17                 53                   8 563%
NMI Holdings Emeryville CA Dec 17                 53                 11 382%
Abaxis Inc Union City CA Mar 18                 43                 51 -16%
Shutterfly Inc Redwood City CA Dec 17                 35                 27 30%
RH Corte Madera CA Jan 18                 30                   9 233%
Core-Mark Holding Co Inc South San Fran CA Dec 17                 28                 86 -67%
Arlo Technologies San Jose CA Dec 17                   8               (14)
Natus Medical Inc Pleasanton CA Dec 17                   5                 55
Penumbra Alameda CA Dec 17                   2                 (1)
Genomic Health Inc Redwood City CA Dec 17                 (2)               (13)
8Point3 Energy Partners LP San Jose CA Nov 17               (12)                 46
Allakos San Carlos CA Dec 17               (24)               (17)
iRhythm Technologies San Francisco CA Dec 17               (29)               (21)
Nevro Corp Redwood City CA Dec 17               (35)               (30)
Biomarin Pharmaceutical Novato CA Dec 17               (36)             (831)
Blackhawk Network Holdings Pleasanton CA Dec 17               (37)                   1
Tricida South San Fran CA Dec 17               (41)               (29)
ARMO BioSciences Redwood City CA Dec 17               (43)               (34)
CytomX Therapeutics South San Francisco CA Dec 17               (44)               (59)
MyoKardia South San Francisco CA Dec 17               (46)               (13)
TiVo Corp San Jose CA Dec 17               (48)               (24)
Sangamo Therapeutics Richmond CA Dec 17               (55)               (72)
Pattern Energy Group San Francisco CA Dec 17               (71)               (44)
Denali Therapeutics South San Francisco CA Dec 17               (88)               (87)
Iovance Biotherapeutics San Carlos CA Dec 17               (92)               (53)
Audentes Therapeutics San Francisco CA Dec 17               (92)               (60)
Nektar Therapeutics San Francisco CA Dec 17               (96)             (153)
Global Blood Therapeutics South San Francisco CA Dec 17             (117)               (82)
Atara Biotherapeutics South San Francisco CA Dec 17             (120)               (79)
FibroGen San Francisco CA Dec 17             (126)               (62)
Zogenix Emeryville CA Dec 17             (126)               (70)
Aimmune Therapeutics Brisbane CA Dec 17             (131)               (81)
VeriFone Systems San Jose CA Oct 17             (143)                   2
Infinera Corp Sunnyvale CA Dec 17             (196)               (29)
Heron Therapeutics San Francisco CA Dec 17             (197)             (173)
Coherus Biosciences Redwood City CA Dec 17             (238)             (128)
Sunrun San Francisco CA Dec 17             (255)             (267)
Theravance Biopharma Inc South San Fran CA Dec 17             (272)             (181)
Portola Pharmaceuticals South San Francisco CA Dec 17             (287)             (268)
Ultragenyx Pharmaceuticals Novato CA Dec 17             (318)             (246)
Impax Laboratories Inc Hayward CA Dec 17             (451)             (576)
Tesla Motors Palo Alto CA Dec 17          (2,209)             (746)
Total all 93 Cos but Technology and Oil & Gas Cos          61,777          74,207 -17%
All 193 San Fran Area/Silicon Valley Cos        275,736        240,971 14%