Tuesday, September 25, 2018

Tennessee Company Earnings On Fire in Both 2015 and 2016 (Up 21%), But Then this Earnings Growth Drops Sharply Down to Only 3% in 2017, the First Year Donald Trump Was in Office .......................................................................................

From a review of SEC filings, there are 34 Tennessee headquartered Companies with stock market caps above $1 Bil which have filed their annual audited financial statements with the SEC for Fiscal Year Ends (FYEs) 2017, 2016, 2015 and 2014.

Nearly all Republicans, a high percentage of Independents and even many perceptive Democrats all agree as a starting point that for US capitalism to work properly, Companies must generate in the aggregate reasonably healthy profits.

And did these fine Tennessee Companies ever post very healthy profits in both 2015 and 2016, with Audited Total Pretax Income From Continuing Operations up an average of 21% per year.

Then in 2017, Donald Trump's first year in office, the Total Pretax Earnings Growth of these 34 Tennessee Companies dropped precipitously down to only 3% above that in 2016.

My Focus is on Pretax Income Rather Than After-Tax Net Income Because Income Taxes are Simply a Transfer of Financial Wealth Between US Corporations and the US Federal, US State and Foreign Governments.  It Has Nothing Whatsoever to do with Company Operating Performance.

From a review of SEC filings, the chart below shows the Audited Gold-Standard US GAAP Pretax Income (Loss) From Continuing Operations for Fiscal Year Ends 2017, 2016, 2015 and 2014 for these 34 Tennessee Companies.
Trump
First
Year Year Year Year
2017 2016 2015 2014
Audited Audited Audited Audited
Pretax Pretax Pretax Pretax
Income Income Income Income
(Loss) (Loss) (Loss) (Loss)
From From From From
Tennessee Companies City State 2017 Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Stock Market Caps Above $1 Bil HQs HQs FYE Operations Operations Operations Operations
 $ mils  $ mils  $ mils  $ mils
HCA Healthcare Nashville TN Dec 17            4,381            4,810            3,957            3,481
FedEx Memphis TN May 18            4,353            4,579            2,740            1,627
AutoZone Memphis TN Aug 17            1,925            1,913            1,803            1,663
Dollar General Goodlettsville TN Jan 18            1,907            1,966            1,853            1,681
Unum Group Chattanooga TN Dec 17            1,404            1,348            1,238               542
Scripps Networks Knoxville TN Dec 17            1,311            1,278            1,122            1,028
Eastman Chemical Kingsport TN Dec 17            1,289            1,049            1,129               990
International Paper Memphis TN Dec 17            1,025               993            1,249               534
Tractor Supply Brentwood TN Dec 17               673               688               648               588
Louisiana-Pacific Nashville TN Dec 17               510               165               (95)             (105)
ServiceMaster Global Memphis TN Dec 17               370               240               270                 84
Mid America Apartment Comm Germantown TN Dec 17               343               226               352               153
First Horizon National Memphis TN Dec 17               309               345               108               318
Cracker Barrel Lebanon TN Jul 17               299               266               238               191
Delek US Holdings Brentwood TN Dec 17               299             (391)                 21               327
Pinnacle Financial Partners Nashville TN Dec 17               298               191               143               106
Acadia Healthcare Franklin TN Dec 17               237                 33               165               126
Regal Entertainment Group Knoxville TN Dec 17               214               282               253               179
CoreCivic Nashville TN Dec 17               192               228               230               202
Life Point Health Brentwood TN Dec 17               160               205               303               203
National Health Investors Murfreesboro TN Dec 17               159               153               150               103
Ryman Hospitality Properties Nashville TN Dec 17               127               163               100               125
Mueller Industries Memphis TN Dec 17               125               148               132               148
Forward Air Corp Greeneville TN Dec 17               107                 58                 80                 96
Tivity Health Franklin TN Dec 17               105                 78                 73                 70
Malibu Boats Loudon TN Jun 18                 89                 49                 32                 32
National Healthcare Murfreesboro TN Dec 17                 75                 80                 85                 85
FB Financial Nashville TN Dec 17                 73                 62                 51                 35
Astec Industries Chattanooga TN Dec 17                 57                 87                 52                 54
Education Realty Trust Memphis TN Dec 17                 46                 45                 20                 48
Healthcare Realty Trust Nashville TN Dec 17                 23                 86                 59                 34
Envision Healthcare Nashville TN Dec 17               (31)               198               496               294
Wright Medical Group NV Memphis TN Dec 17             (100)             (178)             (241)             (247)
Brookdale Senior Living Brentwood TN Dec 17             (588)             (399)             (550)             (331)
Total all 34 Tennessee Companies          21,766          21,044          18,266          14,464
Pretax Income (PTI) % Increase vs Preceding Year 3% 15% 26%
Average PTI Increase in Two Years 2015 and 2016 21%