Tuesday, September 18, 2018

Indiana Companies Underperform on a Pretax Earnings Basis in the Seven Years (2011-2017) of 8th District Republican Larry Bucshon's Term in Office With Their Audited Pretax Profits Down 4.4% Over That Seven Year Period; While These Same Indiana Companies Posted an Off-the-Charts 244% Audited Pretax Profits Increase in the Immediately Preceding Two Years (2009 and 2010) When Democrat Brad Ellsworth Held This Office ....................................................................................

Since there is an Indivisible Evansville Meet the Candidates forum being held tonight Tuesday, Sept 18th starting at 7:00 PM in the Ivy Tech Auditorium (3501 N First Avenue) in Evansville, Indiana, I think it would be helpful to research just how well Indiana Companies have performed since the horrible 2008 US financial meltdown.

The National Indivisible Organization has endorsed Progressive Democratic candidate William Tanoos, who is running for Indiana 8th District House seat which is currently held by Republican incumbent Larry Bucshon.

Bucshon has been in this office from 2011 to now.

During this seven-year period (2011-2017) where fiscal year end December Indiana Headquartered Companies have filed their audited annual reports with the US SEC, there were 23 Indiana Companies which filed financial statements both for the December year 2008 and also consecutively through the most recent year ended December 2017 and which also had stock market caps of above $1 bil recently.

Nearly all Republicans, a high percentage of Independents and even many perceptive Democrats all agree as a starting point that for US capitalism to work properly, Companies must generate in the aggregate reasonably healthy profits.

The problem here is that Indiana Companies in the aggregate have not generated reasonably healthy profits in the past seven years.

These 23 Indiana Cos posted Audited Gold-Plated US GAAP Total Pretax Income From Continuing Operations of $16.010 Bil in the Annual Year Ended December 2017, which is down 4.4% from their comparable total earnings of $16.744 Bil in the Annual Year Ended 2010.  This covers Bucshon's first seven annual years in office.

The US financial meltdown just crushed Indiana, just like it did many other US States.  For the Annual Year Ended December 2008, these 23 Indiana Companies Posted Audited Gold-Plated US GAAP Total Pretax Income From Continuing Operations of only $4.863 Bil.

But then the comparable Total Pretax Earnings of these same 23 Indiana Cos just soared like a rocket in 2009, up by an off-the-charts 184%, increasing from $4.863 Bil in Annual 2008 to $13.816 Bil in Annual 2009.

And in Annual 2010, these same Total Earnings increased by another 21% to $16.744 Bil.

So who held this key 8th District seat when these Indiana Companies earnings expanded so incredibly high in the two years 2009 and 2010?  Democrat Brad Ellsworth.

From SEC filings, the below chart shows the Audited US GAAP Pretax Income (Loss) From Continuing Operations for each of these 23 fine Indiana Companies for the most recent three years (2017, 2016 and 2015) and also for the 2008 US Meltdown Year and the Two Recovery Years of 2009 and 2010:
2017 2016 2015 2010 2009 2008
Audited Audited Audited Audited Audited Audited
Pretax Pretax Pretax Pretax Pretax Pretax
Income Income Income Income Income Income
(Loss) (Loss) (Loss) (Loss) (Loss) (Loss)
Indiana Companies From From From From From From
With December Year Ends Most Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Stock Market Caps > $1 Bil Recent Operations Operations Operations Operations Operations Operations
FYE  $ mils  $ mils  $ mils  $ mils  $ mils  $ mils
Anthem Indianapolis IN Dec 17          3,964          4,555          4,631          4,354          7,403          3,122
Cummins Columbus IN Dec 17          2,365          1,930          2,025          1,617             640          1,178
Simon Property Group Indianapolis IN Dec 17          2,245          2,135          2,139             754             387             600
Eli Lilly Indianapolis IN Dec 17          2,197          3,374          2,790          6,525          5,358         (1,308)
Steel Dynamics Fort Wayne IN Dec 17             935             564            (242)             213              (18)             735
Allison Transmission  Indianapolis IN Dec 17             527             341             289               83            (283)            (291)
CNO Financial Group Carmel IN Dec 17             481             353             368             294             174                 4
Zimmer Biomet Holdings Warsaw IN Dec 17             465             400             153             860             998          1,122
NiSource Merrillville IN Dec 17             443             510             340             436             396             557
OneMain Holdings Evansville IN Dec 17             431             356            (226)          1,202         (1,074)            (951)
KAR Auction Services Carmel IN Dec 17             398             355             341               97               34            (248)
Duke Realty Corp Indianapolis IN Dec 17             290             298             184               28            (260)               79
Vectren Evansville IN Dec 17             262             325             297             208             197             205
LCI Industries Elkhart IN Dec 17             213             199             114               45              (36)               19
Old National Bancorp Evansville IN Dec 17             169             200             163               43                (7)               62
First Merchants Corp Muncie IN Dec 17             134             109               91                 3              (69)               29
Wabash National Corp Lafayette IN Dec 17             123             185             163            (142)            (105)            (109)
Patrick Industries Inc  Elkhart  IN Dec 17             113               84               66                 1                (6)              (77)
Franklin Electric Co Fort Wayne IN Dec 17             105             104               86               55               39               68
1st Source Corp South Bend IN Dec 17             101               89               89               60               32               46
Lakeland Financial Corp Warsaw IN Dec 17               90               77               69               37               28               29
Kite Realty Trust Indianapolis IN Dec 17               14                 3               29                (9)                 5               10
Endocyte Lafayette IN Dec 17              (55)              (44)              (41)              (20)              (17)              (18)
Total all 23 Indiana Cos        16,010        16,502        13,918        16,744        13,816          4,863
% Change vs Prior Year -3.0% 18.6% 21.2% 184.1%
% Change 2017 vs 2010 -4.4%
% Change 2010 vs 2008 244.3%

There are only 3 additional Indiana Cos meeting the above criteria except that they have other than a December fiscal year end: Berry Plastics Group which has a very strong earnings trend, Thor Industries which has a strong earnings trend and Hillenbrand.

It will be interesting to see how the After-Tax Net Income numbers come out for these 23 Indiana Cos.  My hunch is that they will be even more pronounced than the above Pretax Income trend.

Also, there will be other US States whose Cos will have similar total earnings trends to that of the above total earnings trend of these 23 Indiana Cos.