Wednesday, January 15, 2014

US Homebuilding Corps Average Stock Prices Down 79% Due to Financial Meltdown Then Up 433% Under Obama and the US Fed

From a review of SEC Filings , I found 14 US Homebuilding Corps which generated Pretax Income or Pretax Loss of at least $100 mil each in any of the first three years of the Obama Administration (2009, 2010 or 2011), and which also had their common stock trading on December 31, 2006, the middle of President Bush's second term, on March 6, 2009, very early in President Obama's first term, which was their low point resulting from the 2008 financial meltdown, and also trading on yesterday January 14, 2014.

The historical stock prices of these companies were obtained from the following two excellent internet resources....  Google Finance and MarketWatch Big Charts.

These 14 US Homebuilding Corps had their average stock prices drop by a massive 79% from the midpoint of President Bush's second Presidential term on December 31, 2006 and very early in President Obama's first term, or on March 6, 2009, which was these US Homebuilding Corps very lowest point resulting from the disastrous 2008 Financial Meltdown.

But nearly miraculously since March 6, 2009, the average stock prices of these 14 Homebuilding Corps have increased by an off-the-charts 433% through yesterday January 14, 2014.

Clearly, the stockholders and executives of these 14 US Homebuilders must be extremely pleased with the financial impact of actions taken by both the Obama Administration and the US Fed, which rescued them from almost certain bankruptcy.....when you lose 79% of your market value, there is an awfully good chance you are headed for the financial junk pile.....certainly at least 11 of the 14 were, perhaps even 13 of them were.

Granted there are still many homeowners who are still underwater on their mortgages, but what the Obama Administration has done here with the real estate industry that was clearly headed for complete collapse was frankly miraculous.

I do think that more needs to be done to make apartment and home rents more affordable.

The first chart below shows the common stock prices of these 14 US Homebuilders on March 6, 2009, very early in President Obama's first term, and also on December 31, 2006, smack dab in the middle of President Bush's second term.....down 79% in the aggregate.

And the second chart below shows the stock prices of these 14 US Homebuilders on yesterday's date January 14, 2014, and also very early in President Obama's first term on March 6, 2009......up 433% in the aggregate.


Market Market

State Price Price Percentage

HQs 3-6-09 12-31-06 Decline
Homebuilders



Beazer Homes GA              1.45           235.05 -99%
Hovnanian Enterprises NJ              0.58             33.90 -98%
Standard Pacific CA              0.69             26.79 -97%
Lennar FL              6.08             52.46 -88%
M/I Homes OH              5.09             38.19 -87%
KB Home CA              8.27             51.28 -84%
Meritage Homes AZ              8.83             47.72 -81%
AV Homes FL             15.00             80.85 -81%
Ryland Group CA             12.33             54.62 -77%
PulteGroup MI              7.90             33.12 -76%
DR Horton TX              6.93             26.49 -74%
MDC Holdings CO             23.47             57.05 -59%
Toll Brothers PA             14.26             32.23 -56%
NVR VA           320.55           645.00 -50%










Average % Decrease all 14


-79%


=========================================================



Market Market

State Price Price Percentage

HQs 1-14-14 3-6-09 Increase
Homebuilders



Beazer Homes GA             22.50              1.45 1452%
Standard Pacific CA              8.75              0.69 1168%
Hovnanian Enterprises NJ              6.17              0.58 964%
Lennar FL             38.23              6.08 529%
Meritage Homes AZ             45.42              8.83 414%
M/I Homes OH             25.20              5.09 395%
Ryland Group CA             42.20             12.33 242%
NVR VA        1,011.02           320.55 215%
DR Horton TX             21.59              6.93 212%
Toll Brothers PA             36.27             14.26 154%
PulteGroup MI             19.52              7.90 147%
KB Home CA             18.00              8.27 118%
MDC Holdings CO             30.95             23.47 32%
AV Homes FL             18.73             15.00 25%










Average % Increase all 14


433%