Sunday, February 24, 2013

US Big Corps 4Q 2012 Earnings Up 5%

I found 153 US Corps filing with the SEC, which have already released their 4Q 2012 earnings and which also generated Adjusted After-tax Net Income or Net Loss of more than $400 mil in either the 4Q 2012 or in the 4Q 2011.

Adjusted After-tax Net Income was used when this amount was disclosed in the company's earnings release, and it excludes Special, Unusual Items which are significant in amount relative to Reported Net Income.  Because there are so many significant unusual items reported by the Big 6 Financial Corps, I just used Reported Generally Accepted Accounting Principles After-tax Net Income for each of them.  For Insurance companies, I used Operating After-tax Net Income, when it was disclosed by the Insurance company.

There are a handful of very large corporations which haven't reported their 4Q 2012 Earnings yet, including Berkshire Hathaway, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, thus they weren't included below.

These 153 US Corps generated Total Adjusted After-tax Net Income of $192,668 mil in the 4Q 2012, up 5% (5.47% unrounded) from the 4Q 2011 comparable earnings amount of $182,673 mil.

First, here's a summary of the 4Q 2012 and 4Q 2011 Total Earnings in each Industry.



4Q 2012 4Q 2011



Non-GAAP Non-GAAP



Adjusted Adjusted Increase Increase


Net Net (Decrease) (Decrease)

# of Income Income Amount %
Industry  Corps mils of $s mils of $s mils of $s






Technology 22 50,090 48,919 1,171 2%
Finance 31 32,654 28,698 3,956 14%
Oil and Gas 20 29,668 26,676 2,992 11%
Health Care 16 20,792 21,028 (236) -1%
Consumer Products 12 15,438 14,544 894 6%
Manufacturing 18 12,872 13,288 (416) -3%
Retail 8 8,692 7,990 702 9%
TV, Leisure & Entertainment 9 7,702 7,281 421 6%
Conglomerate 1 4,666 4,142 524 13%
Transportation 5 3,605 3,650 (45) -1%
Communications 4 2,681 2,896 (215) -7%
Chemicals 4 1,981 1,807 174 10%
Mining 3 1,827 1,754 73 4%






Total 153 192,668 182,673 9,995 5%

There are some salient points related to the above chart.

First, I think it is really great that the key US Technology sector dominates the above earnings.  In the 4Q 2012, these 22 large US Technology companies comprised 26% of the total earnings of all 153 companies.

Second, I think it is really bad for the US economy for the key US Manufacturing sector to have a 3% total earnings decline and for the key US Technology sector to have total earnings growth of only 2%.  These two sectors are where the higher paid US full-time jobs are and unless these two industries generate very robust earnings growth, the hope for a significant increase in US jobs here is not good.  This is why the Obama Administration has so many fine proposals to ramp up the US manufacturing and technology sectors.  Let's hope that the dysfunctional US Congress can follow through with the Obama Administration's wise lead here.

Third, I think it is really good that the total earnings in the Health Care industry declined by 1%.  This is caused by the new Affordable Care Act, which has very effectively caused substantial across-the-board reductions in the annual growth rate of the country's total health care costs.

Fourth,  I think it is really bad for the US economy for the Oil & Gas Industry to experience 11% earnings growth, which is double the total earnings growth of all 153 companies.  The Oil & Gas companies continue to place enormous energy cost pressure on both businesses and individuals.  And by consuming an increasingly large portion of a citizen's take-home pay, these Oil & Gas companies continue to substantially depress US consumer demand.

Fifth, the Retail Industry's total earnings growth of 9% is matched by Walmart's earnings growth.  And Walmart just dominates retail industry earnings, comprising 44% of the total earnings of all of the top 8 retailers.  I don't think it is good for the overall US economy to have one company flat out dominate the US retail landscape.

Sixth, the Total Earnings Per Share (EPS) growth is about 3% higher than the 5.47% total earnings growth.  Massive common stock buyback programs have caused this positive earnings spread.  To just mention two of the hundreds of large corporations which have huge common stock buyback programs, Giant ExxonMobil's 6% earnings growth doubles to 12% on an EPS basis and DirecTV's 31% total earnings growth expands to 52% on an EPS basis.

Seventh, Hurricane Storm Sandy very negatively impacted the earnings of many of these companies.

Eighth, I think that many companies' "Non-GAAP Adjusted After-tax Net Income", which is generally used by the investment community to price common stocks, has some questionable items removed from GAAP Net Income, and this has resulted in Non-GAAP Adjusted After-tax Net Income being somewhat artificially overstated.  And I also think that the SEC must do a much better job in controlling the consistency of items companies use to adjust GAAP Net Income to Non-GAAP Adjusted Net Income. 

And ninth, I think it is really bad for the Finance Industry to generate total earnings growth of 14%, nearly triple the 5% total earnings growth of all of these 153 US Big Corps.  But to really get to the Finance earnings story here, it is necessary to break down the Finance sector by sub-sector.  This is done below here:



4Q 2012 4Q 2011



Non-GAAP Non-GAAP



Adjusted Adjusted Increase Increase


Net Net (Decrease) (Decrease)
Finance # of Income Income Amount %
Subsector  Corps mils of $s mils of $s mils of $s






Big 6 6 16,506 11,679 4,827 41%
National/Regional Banks 5 3,609 2,765 844 31%
Credit Cards 4 3,606 3,248 358 11%
Other Financial 5 2,560 2,356 204 9%






Total Non-Insurance Finance 20 26,281 20,048 6,233 31%






Insurance 11 6,373 8,650 (2,277) -26%






Total all Finance 31 32,654 28,698 3,956 14%

Yeah, Hurricane Storm Sandy caused the total earnings of these 11 big insurance companies to decline by a massive 26%.

And yeah, that's not a misprint, the 20 big non-insurance finance corps had their total earnings increase by a massive 31%.  And the Big 6, which comprise a truly huge 51% of the total earnings of all 31 of these large finance companies, had their earnings grow by an off-the-charts 41%, in the same quarter that the key US manufacturing corps had their total earnings decline by 3% and the US technology corps had their total earnings increase by only 2%.  This is a US economy that has clearly gone askew, where the US Fed continues to prop up the big finance sector while, at the same time, much of the rest of the country continues to severely suffer economically.

The US Fed should be focusing on driving up overall US demand, improving US unemployment, US underemployment, and economic fairness, rather than continuing to prop up the Big Finance sector.

And the US Congress should be doing likewise, and also eliminating the many egregious corporate tax loopholes, particularly that Big Oil and Big Financial take huge advantage of.

And to best get to substantially increased demand and improved US unemployment, US underemployment and economic fairness, here are the initiatives that would best do that:

First, increase the US federal minimum wage substantially and have it automatically adjusted each year for inflation.  More than any other initiative, this will substantially increase US demand, and immediately.  And it doesn't cost the US Government a dime.

Second, a substantial wisely designed, cost effective US infrastructure program is needed.

Third, a massive program is needed which immediately allows all underwater home mortgages to be refinanced to the lower current prevailing interest rates.

And fourth, a very limited foreign earnings repatriation at a progressively discounted US federal income tax rate program should be enacted for just 2013, targeted at the US manufacturing and US technology sectors, and letting companies earn this huge tax benefit only if they also add and retain a sufficient number of US full-time jobs.  And all of the money raised here by the US Government should be used to fund the above US infrastructure investment program initiative in #2 above.

Thus, I think all of the above four economic initiatives, which in the aggregate would not cost the US Government a dime, should be key components included in the near-term Sequester Solution.

And lastly, below here is the Ongoing, Non-GAAP Adjusted After-tax Net Income of each of these 153 US Big Corps for both the 4Q 2012 and the 4Q 2011.


4Q 2012 4Q 2011


Non-GAAP Non-GAAP

Adjusted Adjusted Increase Increase
Net Net (Decrease) (Decrease)
Company Income Income Amount %

mils of $s mils of $s mils of $s
Technology



Apple 13,078 13,064 14 0%
Microsoft 6,377 6,624 (247) -4%
IBM 6,129 5,597 532 10%
Google 3,568 3,127 441 14%
Oracle 3,122 2,784 338 12%
Intel 2,609 3,523 (914) -26%
Cisco Systems 2,569 2,322 247 11%
Hewlett Packard 2,281 2,350 (69) -3%
Qualcomm 2,204 1,672 532 32%
EMC 1,194 1,065 129 12%
Ebay 927 789 138 17%
Activision Blizzard 891 725 166 23%
Accenture 766 712 54 8%
Dell 679 983 (304) -31%
Seagate Technology 523 581 (58) -10%
Western Digital 513 358 155 43%
Thermo Fisher Scientific 493 446 47 11%
Motorola Solutions 476 444 32 7%
Broadcom 462 394 68 17%
Facebook 426 360 66 18%
Texas Instruments 417 537 (120) -22%
Xerox 386 462 (76) -16%
Total all 22 Technology 50,090 48,919 1,171 2%





Finance



Big 6



JPMorgan Chase 5,692 3,728 1,964 53%
Wells Fargo 5,090 4,107 983 24%
Goldman Sachs 2,892 1,013 1,879 185%
Citigroup 1,336 998 338 34%
Morgan Stanley 764 (158) 922 584%
Bank of America 732 1,991 (1,259) -63%
Total all Big 6 16,506 11,679 4,827 41%





Insurance



MetLife 1,373 1,244 129 10%
UnitedHealth 1,244 1,258 (14) -1%
Prudential Financial 798 855 (57) -7%
AFLAC 697 684 13 2%
ACE Ltd 492 648 (156) -24%
Cigna 452 293 159 54%
Aon 416 393 23 6%
AIG 290 1,471 (1,181) -80%
Allstate 289 735 (446) -61%
Travelers 278 609 (331) -54%
Chubb 44 460 (416) -90%
Total all 11 6,373 8,650 (2,277) -26%





National/Regional Banks



PNC Financial 973 819 154 19%
Capital One Financial 848 411 437 106%
Bank NY Mellon 718 681 37 5%
BB&T 549 400 149 37%
State Street Corp 521 454 67 15%
Total all 5 National/Regional Banks 3,609 2,765 844 31%





Credit Cards



American Express 1,231 1,192 39 3%
Visa 1,219 1,029 190 18%
MasterCard 605 514 91 18%
Discover Financial Services 551 513 38 7%
Total all 4 Credit Cards 3,606 3,248 358 11%





Other Financial



Annaly Capital Management 701 446 255 57%
BlackRock 690 555 135 24%
FranklinResources 516 481 35 7%
Simon Property Group 370 442 (72) -16%
Toyota Motor Credit 283 432 (149) -34%
Total all 5 Other Financial 2,560 2,356 204 9%





Total all 31 Finance 32,654 28,698 3,956 14%





Big Oil and Gas



Exxon Mobil 9,950 9,400 550 6%
Chevron 5,845 5,123 722 14%
ConocoPhillips 1,755 2,051 (296) -14%
Occidental Petroleum 1,479 1,641 (162) -10%
Schlumberger 1,439 1,478 (39) -3%
Phillips 66 1,312 379 933 246%
Valero Energy 1,010 45 965 2144%
Apache 907 1,154 (247) -21%
Marathon Petroleum 755 (75) 830 1107%
National Oilwell Varco 668 574 94 16%
Enterprise Products Partners 644 618 26 4%
Kinder Morgan Inc 605 228 377 165%
Halliburton 589 906 (317) -35%
Anakarko Petroleum 457 423 34 8%
EOG Resources 437 309 128 41%
Plains All American Pipeline LP 429 322 107 33%
Hess 409 394 15 4%
Marathon Oil 388 552 (164) -30%
Devon Energy 316 628 (312) -50%
Baker Hughes 274 526 (252) -48%
Total all 20 Oil & Gas 29,668 26,676 2,992 11%





Health Care



Big Pharma


Pfizer 3,512 3,784 (272) -7%
Johnson & Johnson 3,376 3,129 247 8%
Merck 2,540 2,978 (438) -15%
Abbott Labs 2,421 2,295 126 5%
Eli Lilly 945 969 (24) -2%
Bristol Myers Squibb 777 906 (129) -14%
Total all 6 Big Pharma 13,571 14,061 (490) -3%





Other Health Care(1)



CVS Caremark 1,206 1,169 37 3%
Amgen 1,088 1,039 49 5%
Medronic 902 898 4 0%
Gilead Sciences 823 743 80 11%
Baxter 700 662 38 6%
Celgene 572 473 99 21%
Walgreens 553 619 (66) -11%
Covidien Ltd 523 547 (24) -4%
Stryker 436 390 46 12%
HCA 418 427 (9) -2%
Total all 10 Other Health Care 7,221 6,967 254 4%





Total all 16 Health Care 20,792 21,028 (236) -1%





Consumer Products



Procter & Gamble 4,647 4,328 319 7%
Phillip Morris International 2,095 1,886 209 11%
Coca Cola 2,047 1,821 226 12%
PepsiCo 1,704 1,815 (111) -6%
Altria Group 1,110 1,030 80 8%
Colgate Palmolive 671 634 37 6%
Mondelez International 645 694 (49) -7%
General Mills 577 527 50 9%
Kimberly Clark 539 508 31 6%
Nike 521 480 41 9%
Estee Lauder 457 401 56 14%
Reynolds American 425 420 5 1%
Total all 12 Consumer Products 15,438 14,544 894 6%





Manufacturing



Ford Motor 1,241 797 444 56%
United Technologies 1,176 1,269 (93) -7%
Boeing 1,116 1,050 66 6%
3M 1,004 974 30 3%
Caterpillar 980 1,562 (582) -37%
Honeywell 873 827 46 6%
GM 804 651 153 24%
Lockheed Martin 713 868 (155) -18%
Deere 689 672 17 3%
Danaher 630 564 66 12%
Raytheon 529 593 (64) -11%
Northrop Grumman 513 486 27 6%
Corning 498 513 (15) -3%
General Dynamics 491 714 (223) -31%
Emerson Electric 454 371 83 22%
Illinois Tool Works 412 427 (15) -4%
Johnson Controls 384 459 (75) -16%
Cummins 365 491 (126) -26%
Total all 18 Manufacturing 12,872 13,288 (416) -3%





Retail



Walmart 3,825 3,501 324 9%
McDonalds 1,396 1,377 19 1%
Home Depot 1,112 934 178 19%
Target 595 584 11 2%
TJX 462 406 56 14%
Lowes 449 449 0 0%
Starbucks 432 382 50 13%
Costco 421 357 64 18%
Total all 8 Retail 8,692 7,990 702 9%





TV Leisure and Entertainment



Comcast 1,409 1,296 113 9%
Walt Disney 1,382 1,464 (82) -6%
Time Warner 1,128 946 182 19%
News Corp 1,037 981 56 6%
DirecTV 942 718 224 31%
Time Warner Cable 479 447 32 7%
Viacom 461 591 (130) -22%
Las Vegas Sands 450 461 (11) -2%
CBS 414 377 37 10%
Total all 9 TV Leisure and Entertainment 7,702 7,281 421 6%





Conglomerate



General Electric 4,666 4,142 524 13%





Transportation



United Parcel Service 1,275 1,252 23 2%
Union Pacific 1,036 964 72 7%
CSX 443 457 (14) -3%
FedEx 438 497 (59) -12%
Norfolk Southern 413 480 (67) -14%
Total all 5 Transportation 3,605 3,650 (45) -1%





Communications



AT&T 2,499 2,382 117 5%
Verizon 1,088 1,474 (386) -26%
CenturyLink 415 343 72 21%
Sprint Nextel (1,321) (1,303) (18) 1%
Total all 4 Communications 2,681 2,896 (215) -7%





Chemicals



LyondellBasell Industries 645 328 317 97%
CF Industries 471 439 32 7%
Mosaic 451 626 (175) -28%
Praxair 414 414 0 0%
Total all 4 Chemicals 1,981 1,807 174 10%





Mining



Freeport McMoran 743 640 103 16%
Newmont Mining 552 577 (25) -4%
Southern Copper 532 537 (5) -1%
Total all 3 Mining 1,827 1,754 73 4%





Grand Total all 153 Big Corps 192,668 182,673 9,995 5%

(1) Excluded from Other Health Care above was Express Scripts, whose Non-GAAP After-tax Adjusted Net Income increased from $489 mil in the 4Q 2011 to $832 mil in the 4Q 2012, an increase of 70%.  However, this massive 70% earnings growth was due primarily to its acquisition of Medco Health Solutions, much of which was financed with the issuance of additional shares of common stock.  Its Adjusted Net Income Per Share increased by a much lower 28%, going from 82 cents in the 4Q 2011 to $1.05 in the 4Q 2012.....and the $1.05 didn't include the 35 cent GAAP earnings charge from Amortization of the Medco-related Intangible Assets.