Saturday, May 17, 2014

California Silicon Valley Tech Stock Prices Down Much More in Past 3 Months Than Indices Show

There were 117 California Technology Companies located in the San Francisco and Silicon Valley areas whose common stocks have been trading since December 2007 and which had a total common stock market capitalization of at least $100 mil each on February 26, 2014, the last time I looked in depth at these companies.

The total common stock market capitalization of these 117 Companies at the most recent date May 16, 2014 was $1,985 bil.....yeah, that's nearly $2 trillion.

The Big 5 Tech here had a total common stock market capitalization of $1,310 bil.  On the other hand, the total common stock market capitalization of the remaining 112 Companies combined was a substantially lower $675 bil.

The US Technology Index hasn't dropped too much in the most recent three months.  That is because these indices are market weighted and the Big 5 Techs in Silicon Valley and large Techs in the rest of the US have performed fairly well on the stock market price front.

The Big 5 California Silicon Valley Tech Companies have experienced an equally-weighted average stock market price increase of 5% from February 26, 2014 to the most recent date May 16, 2014.

On the other hand, the remaining 112 San Francisco and Silicon Valley Tech Companies have experienced an equally-weighted average stock market price decline of 8%.

84 of these 112 Non Big 5 Tech Companies, or precisely 75% of them, had stock market price declines from February 26, 2014 to May 16, 2014:
  • 2 of them had stock market price declines above 40%
  • 6 of them had stock market price declines above 30%
  • 23 of them had stock market price declines above 20%
  • 43 of them had stock market price declines of 10% or more
Pundits have mostly focused on how the Technology and Biotechnology Companies just recently going public have had their stock market prices flat out collapse in the most recent 3 months.

But you know what, it's not just them.  The above 112 Technology Companies have all had their common stocks trading for over 6 years each.  And so many of them have had their stock market prices also collapse in the most recent 3 months.

It's pretty clear to me that things really aren't now going too well in the San Francisco and Silicon Valley areas of Technology.

US Technology is so key to the overwhelming majority of US Non-Technology Companies.  And it is also so critical to the country and to the US economy.  And frankly, it's also critical to US Security.  The US Technology Companies must keep their present huge edge over the rest of the world.

The US Congress should get its act together and pass a permanent R&E Tax Credit in short order.  It shouldn't happen retroactively after the fact.....that is just crazy ineffective US economic policy.  And I think the R&E Tax Credit should be designed where it is much more lucrative to the smaller and medium-sized US Technology Companies than it is to the Giant US Tech Companies.  And the R&E tax credit should be a stand alone bill, with no tax loopholes attached to it.

Below here are the stock market prices of the Big 5 and the Remaining 112 San Francisco and Silicon Valley Technology Companies at both May 16, 2014 and at February 26, 2014:









Market Market Increase Market


Price Price (Decrease) Cap
California Company HQs 5-16-14 2-26-14 % 5-16-14


$s $s
$ mils
San Francisco Bay and Silicon Valley Areas



…..Technology




Big 5




Apple Cupertino     597.51     517.35 15%         514,680
Google Mountain View     528.30     610.09 -13%         355,700
Oracle Redwood City      41.69      38.50 8%         185,890
Intel Santa Clara      25.82      24.80 4%         128,530
Cisco Systems San Jose      24.37      21.93 11%         125,540






Big 5 Totals


5%       1,310,340






Remaining 112




eBay Inc San Jose      51.95      57.34 -9%           65,840
Hewlett-Packard Palo Alto      32.52      29.90 9%           61,760
VMware Palo Alto      94.46      97.69 -3%           40,700
Yahoo! Sunnyvale      33.41      37.62 -11%           33,620
Salesforce.com San Francisco      51.80      63.74 -19%           31,600
Adobe Systems San Jose      61.64      67.82 -9%           30,680
Applied Materials Santa Clara      20.21      19.10 6%           24,480
Intuit Mountain View      75.51      77.70 -3%           21,390
Netflix Los Gatos     349.88     448.79 -22%           20,970
SanDisk Milpitas      90.99      76.54 19%           20,580
Agilent Technologies Santa Clara      55.03      57.10 -4%           18,380
Seagate Technology Cupertino      51.19      51.73 -1%           16,720
Symantec Mountain View      22.44      21.26 6%           15,660
Check Point Software Redwood City      63.61      67.67 -6%           12,160
Xilinx San Jose      45.34      52.18 -13%           12,160
Autodesk San Rafael      51.67      54.72 -6%           11,750
Juniper Networks Sunnyvale      24.41      26.89 -9%           11,560
NetApp Sunnyvale      33.72      40.28 -16%           11,170
KLA-Tencor Milpitas      63.15      65.24 -3%           10,470
Linear Technology Milpitas      44.31      46.64 -5%           10,420
Electronic Arts Redwood City      34.44      28.27 22%           10,400
Altera San Jose      32.77      36.14 -9%           10,270
NVIDIA Santa Clara      17.96      18.71 -4%           10,200
Equinix Redwood City     195.27     190.00 3%             9,730
Lam Research Fremont      58.52      52.63 11%             9,480
Trimble Navigation Sunnyvale      35.04      38.20 -8%             9,140
Maxim Integrated Products San Jose      32.22      32.09 0%             9,110
Marvell Technology Santa Clara      15.33      15.28 0%             7,720
Synopsys Mountain View      37.77      39.95 -5%             5,820
Flextronics San Jose        9.50        9.26 3%             5,720
NetSuite San Mateo      73.74     117.86 -37%             5,590
SunPower Corp San Jose      31.76      33.99 -7%             5,490
Cadence Design Systems San Jose      15.70      15.24 3%             4,550
Informatica Redwood City      37.33      40.66 -8%             4,060
Dolby Laboratories San Francisco      39.27      41.00 -4%             4,010
VeriFone Systems San Jose      33.69      28.59 18%             3,760
Brocade Communication Syst San Jose        8.47        9.60 -12%             3,680
Atmel Corp San Jose        7.78        8.13 -4%             3,310
TIBCO Software Palo Alto      19.34      21.62 -11%             3,150
Riverbed Technology San Francisco      19.16      21.11 -9%             3,080
Advanced Micro Devices Sunnyvale        4.02        3.70 9%             3,060
Cepheid Sunnyvale      42.49      54.60 -22%             2,960
JDS Uniphase Milpitas      10.84      13.82 -22%             2,540
SYNNEX Fremont      61.17      59.43 3%             2,390
Cavium San Jose      44.08      42.77 3%             2,330
Finisar Sunnyvale      23.03      23.78 -3%             2,230
Rovi Corp Santa Clara      22.76      24.70 -8%             2,160
Synaptics San Jose      59.61      66.23 -10%             2,150
iGATE Fremont      35.40      34.71 2%             2,080
Aruba Networks Sunnyvale      19.06      20.80 -8%             2,040
Fair Isaac San Jose      55.59      52.82 5%             1,910
Integrated Device Technology San Jose      12.16      12.86 -5%             1,830
Electronics for Imaging Fremont      38.61      44.13 -13%             1,800
Intersil Milpitas      13.18      12.68 4%             1,690
Polycom San Jose      12.15      12.97 -6%             1,680
Sanmina San Jose      20.26      17.09 19%             1,670
Fairchild Semiconductor San Jose      13.15      14.01 -6%             1,640
Power Integrations San Jose      49.29      59.52 -17%             1,500
Advent Software San Francisco      28.78      30.75 -6%             1,480
Monolithic Power Systems San Jose      37.56      36.41 3%             1,450
Coherent Santa Clara      57.60      67.96 -15%             1,440
PMC-Sierra Sunnyvale        6.94        7.37 -6%             1,350
Rambus Sunnyvale      11.49        9.46 21%             1,310
Netgear San Jose      33.04      34.51 -4%             1,210
Tessera Technologies San Jose      21.93      20.15 9%             1,170
OmniVision Technologies Santa Clara      18.97      15.76 20%             1,060
Infinera Corp Sunnyvale        8.34        8.52 -2%             1,020
Omnicell Mountain View      26.28      28.51 -8%                962
Super Micro Computer San Jose      19.76      20.88 -5%                888
8x8 Inc San Jose        8.25      10.39 -21%                725
Ultratech San Jose      24.57      25.63 -4%                689
Harmonic San Jose        7.30        6.53 12%                689
Applied Micro Circuits Sunnyvale        8.79      11.13 -21%                597
Micrel San Jose      10.19      10.54 -3%                575
PDF Solutions San Jose      18.72      21.09 -11%                571
Affymetrix Santa Clara        7.83        7.95 -2%                570
Exar Corp Fremont      10.56      11.71 -10%                501
Callidus Software Pleasanton      10.49      13.02 -19%                482
Integrated Silicon Solution Milpitas      13.55      12.44 9%                409
Silicon Image Sunnyvale        5.15        5.92 -13%                403
Move Inc San Jose      10.19      12.92 -21%                403
ShoreTel Sunnyvale        6.49        8.65 -25%                397
Extreme Networks San Jose        4.09        6.00 -32%                395
Nanometrics Milpitas      15.97      18.22 -12%                382
Alliance Fiber Optic Products Sunnyvale      18.38      12.35 49%                338
IXYS Corp Milpitas      10.65      11.35 -6%                333
Oplink Communications Fremont      16.04      17.40 -8%                311
Glu Mobile San Francisco        3.71        4.91 -24%                302
Immersion Corp San Jose      10.62      12.04 -12%                301
Silicon Graphics Fremont        8.71      12.12 -28%                301
CEVA Inc Mountain View      14.31      17.65 -19%                300
Quantum San Jose        1.17        1.20 -3%                291
Saba Software Redwood Shores        9.65      12.42 -22%                287
PLX Technology Sunnyvale        5.81        5.88 -1%                267
Ultra Clean Holdings Hayward        7.87      13.35 -41%                236
QuickLogic Sunnyvale        4.11        5.33 -23%                226
Actuate San Mateo        4.14        5.62 -26%                198
Oclaro San Jose        1.84        2.90 -37%                196
DSP Group San Jose        8.40        8.43 0%                189
Procera Networks Fremont        9.12      11.70 -22%                188
Pericom Semiconductor Milpitas        8.41        8.20 3%                187
Intevac Santa Clara        7.17        7.57 -5%                171
eGain Sunnyvale        6.56        8.52 -23%                167
MoSys Santa Clara        3.27        4.46 -27%                162
GSI Technology Sunnyvale        5.54        6.80 -19%                152
Mattson Technology Fremont        1.98        2.59 -24%                145
Pixelworks San Jose        5.94        5.08 17%                134
Sigma Designs Milpitas        3.52        4.99 -29%                121
Support.com Redwood City        2.21        2.45 -10%                119
Echelon San Jose        2.47        2.95 -16%                107
Zhone Technologies Oakland        2.50        4.02 -38%                 81
Aviat Networks Santa Clara        1.04        1.94 -46%                 65






Totals Remaining 112


-8%         675,003






Grand Total all 117


      1,985,343