Friday, July 4, 2014

130 Largest US REITs Market Prices Up 15% Since December 2007 Before the Financial Meltdown Hit

From an extensive Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) Review of US Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs), I found 127 US REITs with Total Stock Market Capitalizations of at least $100 mil each currently and which also had their trusts trading on each of the following three dates:
  • On December 31, 2007 during President Bush's second term
  • On March 6, 2009, very early in President Obama's first term, which was their lowest point due to the spillover effects resulting from the 2008 financial meltdown, and 
  • also on July 3, 2014
I also included 2 US REITs which first started trading in early 2008.  And I also included 1 US REIT which was recently sold.  That makes 130 US REITs before the financial meltdown hit in late 2008.  And this 130 doesn't include the publicly-held ones with less than $100 mil in Market Cap, or any of the privately-held ones, or the Mutual Funds and ETFs which buy only REITs.

The historical market prices of these REITs were obtained from the following two excellent internet resources....  Google Finance and MarketWatch Big Charts.

These 130 US REITs had their equal-company-weighted average market prices drop by a massive 61% from December 31, 2007 during President Bush's second Presidential term, to March 6, 2009, very early in President Obama's first term, which was the very lowest point for the overall stock market due to the spillover effects resulting from the disastrous 2008 Financial Meltdown.

But since March 6, 2009, the average market prices of these same 130 US REITs have increased by a spectacular 395% through July 3, 2014.  In real total return terms, this average market price increase of 395% is markedly understated because it excludes the cash dividends that these REITs paid out.

For the entire period of time from December 31, 2007, before the financial meltdown hit, to the current date July 3, 2014, these 130 US REITs had their average market prices increase by 15%.  When you add in the annual REIT cash dividends paid out, this 15% average return more than doubles over this 6.5 year period of time.

To qualify as a US REIT, at least 90% of a REIT's taxable income must be distributed each year.  A US REIT gets a US Federal income tax deduction each year for its dividends distributed in each year.  Thus, a REIT pays no US Federal income tax in any year it distributes as a dividend at least 100% of its taxable income before considering the dividend distribution.

Since this tax-free status of US REITs is so economically beneficial, nearly all US REITs distribute as a cash dividend each year at least 100% of their taxable income before the dividend tax deduction.  Thus in most cases, a US REIT has a very robust cash dividend yield even in a very low interest rate environment, thus the massive increase in both the number and total assets of US REITs, particularly after the US financial meltdown hit.

I derived the breakdown of the 130 US REITs by Industry from reviewing and analyzing the Business Section in Part 1 of the 10-K and also by analyzing the Asset Mix in the Balance Sheet and in the footnotes.

Below here are a breakdown of these average returns by REIT Industry:



Average Average Average


Market Market Market


Price Price Price


% % %


Change Change Change


3-6-09 12-31-07 12-31-07

# of to to to
REIT Industry Companies  7-3-14  3-6-09  7-3-14 





Self Storage 4 665% -60% 150%
Residential 17 265% -55% 52%
Healthcare Facilities 10 175% -43% 51%
Timberlands 3 220% -57% 24%
Correctional Facilities 2 220% -62% 20%
Industrial 12 257% -63% 9%
Hotel/Motel 10 791% -86% 7%
Retail 26 588% -66% 4%
Diversified 21 526% -67% 1%
Office 10 233% -59% -5%
Mortgage Investments 15 116% -45% -30%


Totals 130 395% -61% 15%

As you can see from the above chart, the Self Storage REIT Industry has been on fire.....up 150% since before the financial meltdown hit.

The US Residential and Healthcare Facilities REIT Industries both performed superbly over this 6.5 year period.....both up over 50%.

The US Residential REIT Industry benefited from both very high rental income rates and low interest rates.

The high rental rates were helped by the fear of home ownership caused by the disastrous financial meltdown.  Also, the $1.3 trillion of Student Loan Debt, the very high Credit Card Debt and the very weak US job market, all added to the decision to delay home ownership, thereby adding on to the already high rental rates.

The US Fed with its Quantitative Easing was the cause of the extremely low interest rates which substantially benefited the profit margins of the US Residential REIT Industry.

The US Health Care REIT Industry profit margins were helped by both an aging US population and the positive economic impact of the Affordable Care Act.

The US Hotel/Motel REIT Industry declined the most -86% due to the late 2008 financial meltdown, but also has increased the most +791% since then.

The huge US Retail REIT Industry also has increased very robustly +588% since March 6, 2009.

I do have to ask this question.....what in the world were both the US House Ways and Means and the US Senate Finance Committee thinking when they decided to give the For-Profit Prison Industry a tax-free REIT status? 

The clearly losing US REIT Industry in market price change over this 6.5 year period was Mortgage Investments.....down 30%.

Below here are the market prices of each of these 130 US REITs on July 3, 2014, on March 6, 2009, and on December 31, 2007, broken down first by REIT Industry and then sorted by Market Price Percentage Increase from December 31, 2007 to July 3, 2014:






Market Market Market






Price Price Price






% % %






Change Change Change



 Market   Market   Market  3-6-09 12-31-07 12-31-07



 Price   Price   Price  to to to
Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
 7-3-14   3-6-09   12-31-07   7-3-14  3-6-09  7-3-14 


$ $ $
Diversified







WP Carey New York NY      63.96      18.02      33.20 255% -46% 93%
NorthStar Realty Finance New York NY      16.92        1.39        8.92 1117% -84% 90%
PS Business Parks Glendale AZ      84.41      30.21      52.55 179% -43% 61%
One Liberty Properties Great Neck NY      21.69        2.39      16.16 806% -85% 34%
Liberty Property Trust  Malvern PA      37.58      16.95      28.81 122% -41% 30%
Douglas Emmett Inc Santa Monica CA      28.34        6.45      22.61 339% -71% 25%
Vornado Realty Trust New York NY     105.95      29.31      87.95 261% -67% 20%
EPR Properties Kansas City MO      55.70      12.79      47.00 335% -73% 19%
Alexander's Paramus NJ     372.59     137.82     353.25 170% -61% 5%
Gladstone Commercial McLean VA      17.94        6.79      17.54 164% -61% 2%
Investors Real Estate Trust Minot ND        8.97        8.77        8.97 2% -2% 0%
Transcontinental Realty Investors Dallas TX      14.50      11.35      15.46 28% -27% -6%
Brandywine Realty Trust Radnor PA      15.30        3.53      17.93 333% -80% -15%
Washington REIT Rockville MD      25.84      15.60      31.41 66% -50% -18%
Newcastle Investment Corp New York NY        4.75        0.13        6.08 3551% -98% -22%
Duke Realty Indianapolis IN      17.98        4.48      26.08 301% -83% -31%
Cousins Properties Inc Atlanta GA      12.51        5.81      20.56 115% -72% -39%
Winthrop Realty Trust Boston MA      15.30        6.06      26.45 152% -77% -42%
iStar New York NY      14.81        1.09      26.05 1259% -96% -43%
RAIT Financial Trust Philadelphia PA        8.36        1.83      25.86 357% -93% -68%
Gramercy Property Trust New York NY        6.25        0.51      24.31 1125% -98% -74%









Average % Change all 21 Diversified REITs



526% -67% 1%









Healthcare Facilities







Omega Healthcare Investors Hunt Valley MD      36.55      11.89      16.05 207% -26% 128%
National Health Investors Murfreesboro TN      61.92      21.84      27.90 184% -22% 122%
Sabra Health Care REIT Irvine CA      28.27        8.24      17.17 243% -52% 65%
LTC Properties Westlake Village CA      38.80      16.74      25.05 132% -33% 55%
Ventas Chicago IL      63.91      20.41      45.25 213% -55% 41%
Health Care REIT Toledo OH      61.92      27.27      44.69 127% -39% 39%
Medical Properties Trust Birmingham AL      12.95        3.04      10.19 326% -70% 27%
Universal Health Realty Income King of Prussia PA      43.29      25.93      35.44 67% -27% 22%
HCP Inc Long Beach CA      40.79      16.08      34.78 154% -54% 17%
Healthcare Realty Trust Inc Nashville TN      25.06      12.78      25.39 96% -50% -1%









Average % Change all 10 Healthcare Facilities REITs



175% -43% 51%









Hotel/Motel







Ashford Hospitality Trust Dallas TX      11.58        0.65        4.82 1679% -87% 140%
Host Hotels & Resorts Bethesda MD      22.14        3.54      17.04 525% -79% 30%
Ryman Hospitality Properties Nashville TN      48.79        4.99      40.47 878% -88% 21%
LaSalle Hotel Properties Bethesda MD      35.83        3.91      31.90 816% -88% 12%
Hospitality Properties Trust Newton MA      30.31        9.09      32.22 233% -72% -6%
Diamondrock Hospitality Bethesda MD      12.93        3.00      14.98 331% -80% -14%
Sunstone Hotel Investors Aliso Viejo CA      14.92        2.11      18.29 607% -88% -18%
Hersha Hospitality Trust Philadelphia PA        6.74        1.35        9.50 399% -86% -29%
Strategic Hotels & Resorts Chicago IL      11.74        0.77      16.73 1425% -95% -30%
FelCor Lodging Trust Irving TX      10.51        0.94      15.59 1018% -94% -33%









Average % Change all 10 Hotel/Motel REITs



791% -86% 7%









Industrial







American Tower Boston MA      90.01      27.28      42.60 230% -36% 111%
EastGroup Properties Jackson MS      64.56      21.54      41.85 200% -49% 54%
Digital Realty Trust San Francisco CA      58.17      26.33      38.37 121% -31% 52%
Dupont Fabros Technology Washington DC      26.19        5.34      19.60 390% -73% 34%
Monmouth Real Estate Investment Freehold NJ      10.20        5.09        8.10 100% -37% 26%
BioMed Realty Trust San Diego CA      21.66        6.98      23.17 210% -70% -7%
DCT Industrial Trust Denver CO        8.13        2.64        9.31 208% -72% -13%
Lexington Realty Trust New York NY      11.17        1.99      12.88 460% -85% -13%
Alexandria Real Estate Equities Pasadena CA      77.36      32.83     101.67 136% -68% -24%
Prologis San Francisco CA      40.90        9.72      57.56 321% -83% -29%
Corenergy Infrastructure Trust Kansas City MO        7.80        5.24      12.25 49% -57% -36%
First Industrial Realty Trust Chicago IL      19.08        2.51      34.60 660% -93% -45%









Average % Change all 12 Industrial REITs



257% -63% 9%









Office







Highwoods Properties Raleigh NC      41.82      16.72      29.38 150% -43% 42%
Boston Properties Boston MA     117.38      31.73      91.81 270% -65% 28%
SL Green Realty New York NY     108.34        8.69      93.46 1147% -91% 16%
Kilroy Realty Los Angeles CA      61.94      15.52      54.96 299% -72% 13%
Corporate Office Properties Trust Columbia MD      27.70      21.72      31.50 28% -31% -12%
CommonWealth REIT Newton MA      26.30      10.88      30.92 142% -65% -15%
Franklin Street Properties Wakefield MA      12.58      10.80      14.80 16% -27% -15%
First Potomac Realty Trust Bethesda MD      13.13        6.46      17.29 103% -63% -24%
Mack-Cali Realty Edison NJ      21.13      14.63      34.00 44% -57% -38%
Parkway Properties Orlando FL      20.60        9.11      36.98 126% -75% -44%









Average % Change all 10 Office REITs



233% -59% -5%









Residential







Sun Communities Southfield MI      50.05        7.71      21.07 549% -63% 138%
Associated Estates Realty Richmond Heights OH      18.12        5.35        9.44 239% -43% 92%
Equity LifeStyle Properties Chicago IL      43.77      15.29      22.84 186% -33% 92%
Essex Property Trust Palo Alto CA     184.78      55.19      97.49 235% -43% 90%
Equity Residential Chicago IL      63.19      17.09      36.47 270% -53% 73%
Mid-America Apartment Communities Memphis TN      72.55      23.71      42.75 206% -45% 70%
Post Properties Atlanta GA      53.89      10.15      35.12 431% -71% 53%
Avalonbay Communities Arlington VA     142.03      42.14      94.14 237% -55% 51%
BRE Properties San Francisco CA      61.00      18.28      40.53 234% -55% 51%
Camden Property Trust Houston TX      70.62      17.64      48.15 300% -63% 47%
UDR Inc Highlands Ranch CO      28.47        7.23      19.85 294% -64% 43%
American Campus Communities Austin TX      38.40      15.61      26.85 146% -42% 43%
Home Properties Rochester NY      63.50      25.36      44.85 150% -43% 42%
Apartment Investment & Mgt Denver CO      32.29        4.94      29.11 554% -83% 11%
Senior Housing Properties Trust Newton MA      24.02      11.39      22.68 111% -50% 6%
Education Realty Trust Memphis TN      10.65        2.86      11.24 272% -75% -5%
UMH Properties Freehold NJ      10.24        5.25      11.77 95% -55% -13%









Average % Change all 17 Residential REITs



265% -55% 52%









Retail







Simon Property Group Indianapolis IN     166.13      26.19      86.86 534% -70% 91%
Tanger Factory Outlet Centers Greensboro NC      34.78      13.20      18.86 164% -30% 84%
Retail Opportunity Investments San Diego CA      15.71        9.50        9.17 65% 4% 71%
Realty Income Escondido CA      44.23      15.03      27.02 194% -44% 64%
National Retail Properties Orlando FL      36.74      12.96      23.38 183% -45% 57%
Taubman Centers Bloomfield Hills MI      76.24      13.56      49.19 462% -72% 55%
Federal Realty Investment Trust Rockville MD     121.38      39.90      82.15 204% -51% 48%
Urstadt Biddle Properties Greenwich CT      20.62      10.37      15.50 99% -33% 33%
Acadia Realty Trust White Plains NY      28.26        8.90      25.61 218% -65% 10%
Weingarten Realty Investors Houston TX      32.80        8.43      31.44 289% -73% 4%
Equity One North Miami Beach FL      23.66        9.74      23.03 143% -58% 3%
Agree Realty Farmington Hills MI      30.52      10.50      30.10 191% -65% 1%
Macerich Santa Monica CA      66.25        6.79      67.32 875% -90% -2%
Saul Centers Bethesda MD      48.94      20.44      53.43 139% -62% -8%
Regency Centers Jacksonville FL      54.87      22.02      64.49 149% -66% -15%
CBL & Associates Properties Chattanooga TN      19.00        2.09      23.91 809% -91% -21%
Ramco-Gershenson Properties Trust Farmington Hills MI      16.79        3.88      21.37 333% -82% -21%
Glimcher Realty Trust Columbus OH      10.88        1.08      14.29 907% -92% -24%
Inland Real Estate Oak Brook IL      10.59        6.12      14.16 73% -57% -25%
Getty Realty Jericho NY      19.03      14.30      26.68 33% -46% -29%
Pennsylvania REIT Philadelphia PA      18.83        2.47      29.68 662% -92% -37%
Kimco Realty New Hyde Park NY      22.87        7.01      36.40 226% -81% -37%
Cedar Realty Trust Port Washington NY        6.27        3.32      10.23 89% -68% -39%
General Growth Properties Chicago IL      23.62        0.33      41.18 7058% -99% -43%
DDR Corp Beachwood OH      17.60        1.52      38.29 1058% -96% -54%
Kite Realty Group Trust Indianapolis IN        6.38        2.93      15.27 118% -81% -58%









Average % Change all 26 Retail REITs



588% -66% 4%









Timberlands







Rayonier Jacksonville FL      35.49      11.63      23.50 205% -51% 51%
Weyerhaeuser Federal Way WA      33.22        7.11      27.08 367% -74% 23%
Plum Creek Timber Seattle WA      44.87      24.02      46.04 87% -48% -3%









Average % Change all 3 Timberlands REITs



220% -57% 24%









Mortgage Investments







Two Harbors Investment Minnetonka MN      10.23        8.77        8.38 17% 5% 22%
American Capital Agency Bethesda MD      22.75      14.73      19.35 54% -24% 18%
Capstead Mortgage Corp Dallas TX      12.90        9.49      13.19 36% -28% -2%
Dynex Capital Glen Allen VA        8.43        6.90        8.87 22% -22% -5%
New York Mortgage Trust New York NY        7.64        2.22        8.60 244% -74% -11%
MFA Financial New York NY        8.08        5.32        9.25 52% -42% -13%
Hatteras Financial Winston Salem NC      19.41      22.10      24.68 -12% -10% -21%
Anworth Mortgage Asset Santa Monica CA        5.10        5.54        8.26 -8% -33% -38%
Annaly Capital Management New York NY      11.06      12.88      18.18 -14% -29% -39%
Resource Capital Corp New York NY        5.60        2.07        9.31 171% -78% -40%
Redwood Trust Mill Valley CA      19.83      12.45      34.24 59% -64% -42%
ARMOUR Residential REIT Vero Beach FL        4.32        9.53        9.05 -55% 5% -52%
Arbor Realty Trust Uniondale NY        6.95        0.65      16.11 969% -96% -57%
Chimera Investment Corp New York NY        3.14        2.50      17.88 26% -86% -82%
Blackstone Mortgage Trust New York NY      28.87      10.10     306.50 186% -97% -91%









Average % Change all 15 Mortgage Investment REITs



116% -45% -30%









Self Storage







Extra Space Storage Salt Lake City UT      53.14        5.18      14.29 926% -64% 272%
Public Storage Glendale CA     170.87      48.83      73.41 250% -33% 133%
CubeSmart Malvern PA      18.49        1.50        9.16 1133% -84% 102%
Sovran Self Storage Williamsville NY      77.48      17.10      40.10 353% -57% 93%









Average % Change all 4 Self Storage REITs



665% -60% 150%


















Correctional Facilities







The GEO Group Boca Raton FL      35.67      11.75      28.00 204% -58% 27%
Corrections Corp America Nashville TN      33.06        9.82      29.51 237% -67% 12%









Average % Change all 2 Correctional Facilities REITs



220% -62% 20%









Overall Average % Change all 130 REITs



395% -61% 15%

Next up.....All new US REITs since the late 2008 Financial Meltdown.....Wow, there are so many of them.  And think what would happen if the US Government decided to move some of Fannie Mae's and Freddie Mac's home mortgages to the private sector.  With their tax-free status, it only would make sense that the number of US REITs and the total assets held by US REITs would both grow like weeds.