Monday, March 18, 2019

Largest US Retail Companies Weak Pretax Earnings Continue in the 4Q 2018

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The 41 Largest US Retail Cos With Stock Market Caps Above $10 Bil Posted Total Pretax Income Which Declined By 24% in the 4Q 2018.  
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These Same 41 Largest US Retail Cos Posted Total Pretax Income Declines of 5% in the 3Q 2018 and of 26% in the 2Q 2018.  
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From a review of SEC filings and individual Company information in  MSN Money, I found 41 US Retail Companies with stock market caps sometime in 2018 of more than $10 Bil.

My Focus is on Pretax Income rather than on After-Tax Net Income because Corporate Income Taxes are simply a transfer of financial wealth between US Corporations and the US Federal, US State and Foreign Governments.  It has nothing whatsoever to do with Company Operating Performance.

The chart below shows the Gold-Standard US GAAP Total Pretax Income (Loss) From Continuing Operations for the Fourth (November, December and January Quarter Ends), the Third and the Second Quarters of both 2018 and 2017 for each of these 41 US Retail Cos.

US US US US US US
GAAP GAAP GAAP GAAP GAAP GAAP
Pretax Pretax Pretax Pretax Pretax Pretax
Income Income Income Income Income Income
(Loss) (Loss) (Loss) (Loss) (Loss) (Loss)
Nov 18 Nov 17 Aug 18 Aug 17 May 18 May 17
Dec 18 Dec 17 Sept 18 Sept 17 June 18 June 17
or or Better or or Better or or Better
Jan 19 Jan 18 (Worse) Oct 18 Oct 17 (Worse) July 18 July 17 (Worse)
US Retailing Cos Quarter Quarter % Quarter Quarter % Quarter Quarter %
Stock Market Caps > $10 Bil End End  Change End End  Change End End  Change
mils $ mils $ mils $ mils $ mils $ mils $ mils $
January 2019 Quarter Ends
Walmart         5,664         2,964 91%       2,576       2,879 -11%          398       4,606 -91%
Home Depot         3,113         2,943 6%       3,646       3,433 6%       4,655       4,214 10%
TJX Cos         1,179         1,112 6%       1,047       1,020 3%          993          892 11%
Target         1,014         1,012 0%          713          611 17%       1,022          977 5%
Best Buy            972            873 11%          330          342 -4%          329          310 6%
Macy's            966         1,167 -17%            74            37 100%          197          168 17%
L Brands            711            842 -16%          (41)          135 NM          129          217 -41%
Dollar General            613            599 2%          418          393 6%          519          469 11%
Ross Stores            547            592 -8%          444          441 1%          518          510 2%
The Gap            365            383 -5%          350          364 -4%          388          439 -12%
Kohls            362            493 -27%          195          183 7%          387          332 17%
Kroger            317           (104) NM          399          604 -34%          628          540 16%
Nordstrom            310            319 -3%            80          180 -56%          218          188 16%
Ulta Beauty            282            255 11%          171          163 5%          195          180 8%
Burlington Stores            236            223 6%            92            68 35%            79            63 25%
CoPart            165            144 15%          149          114 31%          133          106 25%
Lowes           (725)            944 -177%          804       1,387 -42%       2,010       2,223 -10%
Dollar Tree        (2,194)            692 -417%          340          355 -4%          338          344 -2%
Total 18 Retail Cos       13,897       15,453 -10%     11,787     12,709 -7%     13,136     16,778 -22%
December 2018 Quarter Ends
McDonalds         1,751         1,885 -7%       2,159       2,820 -23%       2,018       2,061 -2%
Starbucks            966         3,006 -68%          932       1,152 -19%       1,027       1,052 -2%
Yum! Brands            439         1,092 -60%          534          524 2%          357          311 15%
O Reilly Automotive            393            377 4%          456          440 4%          450          436 3%
Restaurant Brands Intl            386            325 19%          342          285 20%          373          286 30%
Aramark            290            143 103%          190          155 23%            97            93 4%
Qurate Retail            287            483 -41%            88            45 96%          223          250 -11%
Fastenal            230            201 14%          259          226 15%          266          235 13%
CDW Corp            207            184 13%          238          207 15%          230          195 18%
Tractor Supply            176            180 -2%          149          145 3%          268          255 5%
Domino's Pizza            135            137 -1%            99            85 16%            91            89 2%
Sherwin-Williams            102            226 -55%          416          428 -3%          538          509 6%
CVS Health            102         2,809 -96%       1,899       2,062 -8%     (2,065)       1,863 -211%
Advance Auto Parts              70              74 -5%          147          144 2%          157          136 15%
Yum China Holdings              65              56 16%          279          272 3%          203          175 16%
Chipotle Mexican Grill              43              61 -30%            60            32 88%            70          108 -35%
Carvana             (86)             (47) NM          (64)          (40) NM          (51)          (39) NM
Wayfair           (143)             (73) NM        (151)          (76) NM        (100)          (39) NM
Total 18 Retail Cos         5,413       11,119 -51%       8,032       8,906 -10%       4,152       7,976 -48%
November 2018 Quarter Ends
Walgreen's Boots Alliance         1,280         1,049 22%       1,673          933 79%       1,455       1,333 9%
Costco            935            936 0%       1,449       1,419 2%       1,071          965 11%
Autozone            449            430 4%          537          656 -18%          504          494 2%
CarMax            248            225 10%          289          290 0%          320          338 -5%
Darden Restaurants            135            113 19%          176          160 10%          217          159 36%
Total 5 Retail Cos         3,047         2,753 11%       4,124       3,458 19%       3,567       3,289 8%
Total all 41 Retail Cos       22,357       29,325 -24%     23,943     25,073 -5%     20,855     28,043 -26%