From a review of SEC filings, I found 105 US Basic Manufacturing Companies with stock market caps earlier in 2018 of more than $10 Bil and which have filed their quarterly financial statements with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in each of the 8 most recent quarters.
I define the key US Basic Manufacturing Companies as all US Companies with Standard Industrial Classification
Codes (SICs) in the 2000s and 3000s filing with the US SEC excluding all Oil & Gas Companies, all Technology Companies and all Health Care Companies.
My Focus is on Pretax Income rather than on After-Tax Net Income because Corporate Income Taxes are simply a transfer of financial wealth between US Corporations and the US Federal, US State and Foreign Governments. It has nothing whatsoever to do with Company Operating Performance.
Then the quarterly earnings trend for the following 7 quarters from March 2017 quarter through the most recent September 2018 quarter showed a substantial and continuing quarterly pretax earnings deterioration from the preceding year's quarter, shown as follows:
- December 2016 Quarter (The Obama Administration's Last Quarter in Office) Pretax Earnings Growth Was 30% Higher Than That in the December 2015 Quarter.
- March 2017 Quarter (The Trump Administration's First Quarter in Office) Pretax Earnings Growth Decelerated Down to 10% Higher Than That in the March 2016 Quarter.
- June 2017 Quarter (The Trump Administration's Second Quarter in Office) Pretax Earnings Were 5% Lower Than That in the June 2016 Quarter.
- December 2017 Quarter (The Trump Administration's Fourth Quarter in Office) Pretax Earnings Were 34% Lower Than That in the December 2016 Quarter.
- Most Recent September 2018 Quarter (The Trump Administration's Seventh Quarter in Office) Pretax Earnings Were 50% Lower Than That in the September 2017 Quarter.
I suggest this absolutely horrible quarterly earnings deterioration trend in the key US Basic Manufacturing Sector is one of the main reasons for the US stock market plummeting in the month of December 2018.
Real Earnings and Projected Earnings Drive Stock Prices. The Stock Market is Smarter Than Any Single Investment Analyst. The Last Thing the Stock Market Wants To See is Substantial Real Earnings Deterioration.
Of these 105 US Basic Manufacturing Companies, 90 of them have a most recent quarter end of September 2018.
The below chart shows the Gold-Standard US GAAP Quarterly Pretax Income (Loss) From Continuing Operations for each of the most recent 8 quarters as compared to the prior year's quarter for each of these 105 key US Basic Manufacturing Companies.
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| Procter & Gamble | 3,940 | 3,751 | 2,289 | 2,927 | 3,253 | 3,336 | 4,033 | 3,256 | 3,751 | 3,738 | 2,927 | 2,686 | 3,336 | 3,226 | 3,256 | 3,803 | |||||||
| Philip Morris | 3,032 | 2,857 | 2,939 | 2,531 | 2,206 | 2,199 | 3,061 | 2,433 | 2,857 | 2,792 | 2,531 | 2,558 | 2,199 | 2,235 | 2,433 | 1,710 | |||||||
| Coca-Cola | 2,847 | 1,674 | 2,883 | 2,624 | 1,833 | 1,507 | 937 | 515 | 1,674 | 1,428 | 2,624 | 4,299 | 1,507 | 1,894 | 515 | 1,538 | |||||||
| PepsiCo | 2,697 | 2,776 | 2,900 | 2,774 | 1,657 | 1,721 | 2,331 | 1,831 | 2,776 | 2,604 | 2,774 | 2,731 | 1,721 | 1,387 | 1,831 | 1,951 | |||||||
| General Motors | 2,630 | 2,430 | 2,885 | 2,967 | 1,576 | 3,473 | 2,993 | 2,198 | 2,430 | 3,609 | 2,967 | 3,621 | 3,317 | 2,490 | 1,985 | 3,058 | |||||||
| Altria Group | 2,608 | 2,644 | 2,557 | 2,910 | 2,466 | 2,091 | 2,183 | 15,708 | 2,644 | 1,727 | 2,910 | 2,534 | 2,091 | 1,883 | 15,708 | 1,973 | |||||||
| Caterpillar | 2,142 | 1,531 | 2,195 | 1,164 | 2,139 | 284 | 1,119 | (1,347) | 1,531 | 379 | 1,164 | 737 | 284 | 364 | (1,347) | (248) | |||||||
| Boeing | 2,133 | 2,583 | 2,586 | 2,462 | 2,839 | 2,145 | 2,972 | 2,103 | 2,647 | 2,203 | 2,469 | (479) | 1,959 | 1,741 | 2,103 | 1,099 | |||||||
| 3M | 1,965 | 1,997 | 2,350 | 2,142 | 965 | 1,737 | 1,672 | 1,610 | 1,997 | 1,862 | 2,142 | 1,835 | 1,737 | 1,746 | 1,610 | 1,463 | |||||||
| Honeywell | 1,858 | 1,778 | 1,999 | 1,778 | 1,909 | 1,724 | 1,617 | 1,432 | 1,783 | 1,632 | 1,778 | 1,755 | 1,724 | 1,628 | 1,432 | 1,653 | |||||||
| United Technologies | 1,768 | 1,940 | 2,834 | 2,064 | 1,890 | 2,054 | 1,705 | 1,273 | 1,940 | 2,026 | 2,064 | 2,112 | 2,054 | 1,722 | 1,273 | 186 | |||||||
| Mondelez Intl | 1,507 | 1,254 | 339 | 584 | 1,251 | 787 | 988 | 15 | 1,265 | 588 | 584 | 589 | 787 | 606 | 15 | (684) | |||||||
| Constellation Brands | 1,365 | 634 | 902 | 472 | 588 | 624 | 644 | 484 | 631 | 517 | 479 | 469 | 624 | 350 | 484 | 399 | |||||||
| Dow Chemical | 1,353 | 1,429 | 1,716 | 1,814 | 1,740 | 1,128 | (1,572) | (198) | 1,429 | 1,089 | 1,814 | 3,357 | 1,128 | 165 | (198) | 4,148 | |||||||
| LyondellBasell Industries | 1,347 | 1,438 | 1,634 | 1,593 | 1,534 | 1,120 | 1,342 | 1,052 | 1,438 | 1,281 | 1,593 | 1,438 | 1,120 | 1,462 | 1,052 | 1,059 | |||||||
| Ford Motor | 1,094 | 1,770 | 1,349 | 2,266 | 1,919 | 2,251 | 1,889 | (1,117) | 1,757 | 1,387 | 2,259 | 2,875 | 2,243 | 3,651 | (1,117) | 1,896 | |||||||
| Nike | 997 | 879 | 1,270 | 1,072 | 1,215 | 1,168 | 1,159 | 1,323 | 879 | 1,114 | 1,072 | 1,281 | 1,168 | 1,073 | 1,323 | 1,135 | |||||||
| Deere & Co | 988 | 733 | 1,200 | 896 | 1,387 | 1,174 | 523 | 328 | 733 | 425 | 896 | 715 | 1,174 | 733 | 328 | 349 | |||||||
| Nucor Corp | 923 | 371 | 914 | 508 | 516 | 549 | 322 | 255 | 371 | 484 | 508 | 390 | 549 | 170 | 255 | (195) | |||||||
| Illinois Tool Works | 835 | 906 | 894 | 819 | 849 | 749 | 796 | 726 | 906 | 763 | 819 | 751 | 749 | 668 | 726 | 634 | |||||||
| Colgate Palmolive | 820 | 900 | 888 | 829 | 924 | 862 | 896 | 934 | 900 | 1,046 | 829 | 919 | 862 | 839 | 934 | (146) | |||||||
| Kraft-Heinz | 814 | 1,359 | 1,046 | 1,590 | 1,254 | 1,250 | 1,331 | 1,280 | 1,359 | 1,105 | 1,590 | 1,366 | 1,250 | 1,272 | 1,280 | 1,030 | |||||||
| Cummins | 805 | 622 | 715 | 599 | 523 | 548 | 596 | 508 | 622 | 382 | 599 | 575 | 548 | 465 | 508 | 212 | |||||||
| Danaher | 801 | 730 | 835 | 645 | 713 | 585 | 979 | 696 | 730 | 477 | 645 | 655 | 585 | 784 | 696 | 601 | |||||||
| Corning Inc | 758 | 479 | 864 | 592 | (465) | 20 | 566 | 2,404 | 479 | 257 | 592 | 1,703 | 20 | (672) | 2,404 | 169 | |||||||
| Tyson Foods | 757 | 580 | 723 | 617 | 423 | 519 | 842 | 912 | 580 | 531 | 617 | 711 | 519 | 644 | 912 | 712 | |||||||
| Emerson Electric | 738 | 685 | 768 | 621 | 658 | 565 | 503 | 464 | 685 | 674 | 621 | 656 | 565 | 552 | 464 | 434 | |||||||
| Paccar | 669 | 582 | 720 | 539 | 669 | 448 | 604 | 419 | 582 | 495 | 539 | 646 | 448 | (430) | 419 | 499 | |||||||
| International Paper | 645 | 502 | 420 | (3) | 451 | 265 | 291 | 281 | 548 | 416 | (9) | 31 | 292 | 380 | 327 | 298 | |||||||
| Praxair | 636 | 597 | 657 | 577 | 620 | 553 | 607 | 571 | 597 | 464 | 577 | 555 | 553 | 499 | 571 | 594 | |||||||
| Estee Lauder | 633 | 549 | 261 | 207 | 480 | 407 | 690 | 600 | 549 | 403 | 207 | 130 | 407 | 370 | 600 | 616 | |||||||
| Archer Daniels Midland | 632 | 225 | 652 | 383 | 464 | 458 | 543 | 629 | 225 | 480 | 383 | 407 | 458 | 306 | 629 | 701 | |||||||
| Textron | 628 | 203 | 260 | 215 | 218 | 121 | 223 | 294 | 203 | 107 | 215 | 260 | 121 | 215 | 294 | 294 | |||||||
| Kimberly Clark | 600 | 803 | 603 | 742 | 201 | 782 | 768 | 789 | 803 | 790 | 742 | 795 | 782 | 767 | 789 | 596 | |||||||
| V F Corp | 599 | 551 | 186 | 136 | 294 | 269 | 460 | 261 | 461 | 585 | 146 | 175 | 271 | 293 | 299 | 518 | |||||||
| Ingersoll Rand plc | 530 | 445 | 587 | 492 | 167 | 156 | 325 | 268 | 445 | 451 | 492 | 852 | 156 | 171 | 268 | 308 | |||||||
| Air Products & Chemicals | 529 | 479 | 552 | 196 | 480 | 405 | 455 | 337 | 479 | 391 | 196 | 402 | 405 | 378 | 337 | 384 | |||||||
| Steel Dynamics | 507 | 234 | 475 | 235 | 296 | 304 | 161 | 3 | 234 | 243 | 235 | 221 | 304 | 97 | 3 | (418) | |||||||
| Ecolab | 482 | 526 | 458 | 377 | 317 | 312 | 550 | 489 | 525 | 509 | 379 | 347 | 311 | 305 | 489 | 261 | |||||||
| Rockwell Automation | 482 | 274 | 252 | 276 | 300 | 230 | 298 | 258 | 274 | 237 | 276 | 252 | 230 | 217 | 258 | 237 | |||||||
| Celanese | 462 | 289 | 442 | 281 | 432 | 240 | 265 | 156 | 289 | 281 | 281 | 275 | 240 | 318 | 156 | (270) | |||||||
| Parker Hannifin | 460 | 374 | 498 | 401 | 470 | 315 | 360 | 321 | 374 | 292 | 401 | 336 | 315 | 273 | 321 | 230 | |||||||
| Eastman Chemical | 459 | 403 | 430 | 359 | 350 | 341 | 199 | 113 | 403 | 289 | 359 | 324 | 341 | 323 | 134 | 117 | |||||||
| General Mills | 458 | 679 | 507 | 577 | 445 | 560 | 520 | 477 | 679 | 723 | 577 | 596 | 560 | 478 | 477 | 525 | |||||||
| Kellogg | 452 | 389 | 669 | 385 | 511 | 307 | 592 | (34) | 401 | 354 | 384 | 386 | 304 | 222 | (34) | (108) | |||||||
| Bunge Ltd | 452 | 121 | (15) | 26 | 2 | 82 | (8) | 372 | 121 | 170 | 26 | 163 | 82 | 275 | 372 | 224 | |||||||
| PPG Industries | 451 | 523 | 479 | 659 | 421 | 446 | 376 | 138 | 521 | (426) | 671 | 630 | 448 | 456 | 140 | 390 | |||||||
| Eaton Corp plc | 439 | 1,694 | 694 | 572 | 565 | 467 | 635 | 559 | 1,691 | 573 | 570 | 553 | 464 | 442 | 559 | 555 | |||||||
| Amphenol | 420 | 358 | 382 | 317 | 355 | 298 | 379 | 324 | 358 | 311 | 317 | 284 | 298 | 222 | 324 | 276 | |||||||
| Molson Coors Brewing | 410 | 441 | 523 | 460 | 357 | 281 | 201 | 2,438 | 432 | 223 | 450 | 197 | 273 | 181 | 2,434 | 42 | |||||||
| Westlake Chemical | 391 | 328 | 381 | 227 | 386 | 201 | 325 | 114 | 328 | 63 | 228 | 182 | 201 | 198 | 114 | 178 | |||||||
| WestRock | 375 | 246 | 356 | 387 | 243 | 142 | 60 | 82 | 246 | (156) | 387 | 252 | 142 | 93 | 82 | 55 | |||||||
| CNH Industrial NV | 362 | 122 | 526 | 346 | 265 | 97 | 190 | 215 | 121 | 71 | 360 | 236 | 97 | (473) | 215 | 332 | |||||||
| Hershey | 357 | 401 | 260 | 281 | 449 | 168 | 260 | 199 | 401 | 328 | 281 | 233 | 168 | 340 | 199 | 320 | |||||||
| Monster Beverage | 343 | 321 | 358 | 347 | 282 | 265 | 268 | 247 | 321 | 289 | 347 | 288 | 265 | 255 | 247 | 229 | |||||||
| Mosaic | 340 | 247 | 72 | 75 | (10) | 9 | 60 | 9 | 247 | 11 | 75 | (21) | 9 | 228 | 9 | 141 | |||||||
| Lear Corp | 332 | 393 | 453 | 400 | 452 | 408 | 378 | 331 | 393 | 323 | 400 | 396 | 408 | 361 | 331 | 328 | |||||||
| Hormel Foods | 322 | 330 | 258 | 278 | 297 | 316 | 305 | 355 | 330 | 365 | 278 | 274 | 316 | 324 | 355 | 354 | |||||||
| Cintas | 321 | 206 | 241 | 219 | 241 | 132 | 175 | 178 | 206 | 187 | 219 | 190 | 132 | 184 | 181 | 177 | |||||||
| Roper Technologies | 312 | 265 | 313 | 255 | 255 | 211 | 303 | 258 | 265 | 240 | 255 | 225 | 211 | 217 | 258 | 315 | |||||||
| Brown Forman | 310 | 331 | 242 | 229 | 128 | 197 | 289 | 258 | 331 | 276 | 229 | 201 | 197 | 715 | 258 | 266 | |||||||
| Stanley Black & Decker | 305 | 354 | 294 | 358 | 252 | 473 | 342 | 282 | 354 | 328 | 358 | 362 | 473 | 254 | 282 | 306 | |||||||
| Aptiv plc | 297 | 337 | 386 | 344 | 375 | 248 | 357 | 193 | 473 | 363 | 448 | 355 | 413 | 410 | 332 | 285 | |||||||
| Fortive Corp | 296 | 348 | 356 | 326 | 313 | 272 | 338 | 315 | 348 | 300 | 326 | 319 | 272 | 263 | 315 | 338 | |||||||
| Hasbro | 296 | 350 | 68 | 87 | (88) | 71 | 279 | 220 | 350 | 346 | 87 | 67 | 71 | 59 | 220 | 231 | |||||||
| BorgWarner | 283 | 274 | 315 | 297 | 332 | 286 | 206 | (465) | 274 | 142 | 297 | 260 | 286 | 254 | (465) | 197 | |||||||
| TransDigm Group | 282 | 247 | 266 | 236 | 247 | 215 | 191 | 139 | 247 | 209 | 235 | 194 | 215 | 200 | 139 | 164 | |||||||
| Mohawk Industries | 278 | 372 | 316 | 344 | 257 | 269 | 332 | 300 | 372 | 365 | 344 | 346 | 269 | 230 | 300 | 219 | |||||||
| Packaging Corp of America | 274 | 217 | 245 | 209 | 187 | 179 | 224 | 169 | 217 | 183 | 209 | 178 | 179 | 159 | 169 | 154 | |||||||
| Tesla | 271 | (671) | (729) | (386) | (779) | (372) | (780) | (208) | (671) | 30 | (386) | (290) | (372) | (278) | (208) | (315) | |||||||
| JM Smucker | 269 | 292 | 173 | 189 | 264 | 162 | 116 | 198 | 292 | 266 | 189 | 253 | 162 | 210 | 198 | 275 | |||||||
| Clorox | 268 | 279 | 306 | 295 | 242 | 247 | 227 | 227 | 279 | 264 | 295 | 252 | 247 | 237 | 227 | 230 | |||||||
| Masco | 262 | 264 | 312 | 262 | 200 | 210 | 161 | 173 | 256 | 227 | 255 | 253 | 213 | 177 | 173 | 160 | |||||||
| Campbell Soup | 257 | 382 | 196 | 417 | (517) | 270 | 211 | 177 | 382 | 429 | 417 | (65) | 270 | 240 | 177 | 387 | |||||||
| PVH Corp | 253 | 250 | 202 | 151 | 216 | 84 | 25 | 125 | 250 | 169 | 151 | 115 | 84 | 266 | 125 | 148 | |||||||
| Arconic | 249 | 172 | 194 | 269 | 199 | 484 | (455) | (45) | 172 | 122 | 269 | 176 | 484 | 161 | (45) | (18) | |||||||
| Ametek | 245 | 204 | 248 | 203 | 236 | 191 | 198 | 145 | 204 | 174 | 203 | 191 | 191 | 183 | 145 | 183 | |||||||
| Whirlpool | 223 | 268 | (609) | 212 | 109 | 198 | 209 | 308 | 268 | 305 | 212 | 286 | 198 | 215 | 308 | 282 | |||||||
| Ralph Lauren | 215 | 191 | 133 | 87 | 25 | (269) | 186 | 123 | 191 | 74 | 87 | (33) | (269) | 61 | 124 | 181 | |||||||
| Garmin Ltd | 201 | 190 | 236 | 234 | 154 | 88 | 180 | 169 | 186 | 150 | 228 | 204 | 88 | 108 | 169 | 153 | |||||||
| Ball Corp | 199 | 55 | 166 | 122 | 159 | 92 | 276 | 101 | 55 | 57 | 122 | 193 | 92 | (210) | 101 | ||||||||
| McCormick & Co | 198 | 141 | 156 | 127 | 152 | 127 | 233 | 219 | 141 | 162 | 127 | 120 | 127 | 125 | 219 | 209 | |||||||
| Keurig Dr Pepper | 194 | 163 | 99 | 89 | 140 | 88 | 324 | 256 | 317 | 342 | 282 | 402 | 248 | 281 | 256 | 291 | |||||||
| Dover | 193 | 207 | 211 | 198 | 161 | 232 | 274 | 216 | 237 | 181 | 211 | 198 | 161 | 232 | 216 | 169 | |||||||
| Church & Dwight | 187 | 187 | 155 | 117 | 201 | 190 | 199 | 170 | 187 | 192 | 117 | 171 | 190 | 173 | 170 | 165 | |||||||
| Albemarle | 177 | 149 | 391 | 137 | 159 | 75 | 171 | 85 | 149 | 127 | 137 | 119 | 75 | 244 | 85 | 139 | |||||||
| Autoliv | 171 | 151 | 210 | 201 | 197 | 194 | (11) | 228 | 133 | 185 | 190 | 200 | 194 | 190 | 228 | 265 | |||||||
| Xylem | 161 | 131 | 150 | 121 | 95 | 70 | 144 | 90 | 131 | 95 | 121 | 90 | 70 | 65 | 90 | 128 | |||||||
| Mettler-Toledo | 160 | 140 | 144 | 127 | 117 | 114 | 194 | 181 | 140 | 133 | 127 | 103 | 114 | 86 | 181 | 161 | |||||||
| Conagra Brands | 157 | 334 | 236 | 274 | 107 | 93 | 258 | 247 | 334 | 193 | 274 | 268 | 93 | (196) | 247 | 105 | |||||||
| Michael Kors | 152 | 239 | 206 | 150 | 74 | (41) | 278 | 342 | 239 | 203 | 150 | 186 | (41) | 246 | 342 | 409 | |||||||
| Lamb-Weston | 146 | 132 | 131 | 120 | 167 | 132 | 125 | 125 | 132 | 134 | 120 | 66 | 132 | 162 | 125 | 116 | |||||||
| Tapestry | 145 | (42) | 173 | 179 | 142 | 147 | 324 | 272 | (42) | 160 | 179 | 109 | 147 | 128 | 272 | 255 | |||||||
| Idex Corp | 133 | 114 | 137 | 113 | 130 | 104 | 124 | 73 | 114 | 99 | 113 | 104 | 104 | 93 | 73 | 89 | |||||||
| A.O. Smith | 132 | 132 | 146 | 128 | 125 | 120 | 141 | 116 | 132 | 118 | 128 | 124 | 120 | 104 | 116 | 109 | |||||||
| FMC Corp | 110 | 59 | 140 | 52 | 332 | 54 | 15 | 12 | 59 | 55 | 52 | 67 | 54 | 46 | 54 | (77) | |||||||
| Pentair plc | 102 | 83 | 99 | 2 | 132 | 104 | 124 | 125 | 175 | 150 | 87 | 169 | 104 | 117 | 125 | 134 | |||||||
| Intl Flavors & Fragrances | 101 | 141 | 122 | 142 | 159 | 138 | 115 | 103 | 141 | 113 | 142 | 152 | 138 | 155 | 103 | 103 | |||||||
| Heico | 99 | 86 | 96 | 74 | 86 | 75 | 75 | 63 | 86 | 74 | 74 | 68 | 75 | 65 | 63 | 51 | |||||||
| CF Industries | 83 | (115) | 218 | 29 | 105 | (22) | (17) | (335) | (115) | (131) | 29 | 178 | (22) | 62 | (335) | 99 | |||||||
| Thomson Reuters | 70 | 143 | 139 | 62 | 199 | 156 | 329 | 275 | 327 | 276 | 206 | 306 | 326 | 184 | 275 | 350 | |||||||
| Keysight Technologies | (584) | 30 | 113 | (25) | 83 | 22 | (23) | 152 | 30 | 98 | (25) | 97 | 22 | 87 | 152 | 84 | |||||||
| DuPont | (4,948) | (688) | 655 | 806 | (189) | 1,375 | (1,288) | 249 | (688) | (151) | 987 | 1,333 | 1,562 | 1,635 | 629 | 287 | |||||||
| Newell Brands | (8,013) | (20) | (23) | (55) | 2 | 790 | 203 | 393 | 166 | 200 | 271 | 170 | 790 | 52 | 393 | (93) | |||||||
| General Electric | (22,736) | 746 | 1,331 | 1,127 | 413 | (53) | (12,603) | 2,893 | 1,466 | 2,074 | 1,515 | 3,824 | 832 | 238 | 2,893 | 1,903 | |||||||
| Total 105 Manufacturing Cos | 31,135 | 62,179 | 67,135 | 61,864 | 55,287 | 54,045 | 41,065 | 62,583 | 63,667 | 56,063 | 63,300 | 66,352 | 55,210 | 50,051 | 63,038 | 48,514 | |||||||
| % Change vs Prior Year Qtr | -50% | 9% | 2% | -34% | 14% | -5% | 10% | 30% |
