Thursday, August 23, 2012

North Carolina 75 Largest Corps 2011 Annual Earnings up 106% over 2009 Under Obama: An Update

From an extensive review of SEC filings, I found 33 Corps headquartered in North Carolina with Pretax Income or Pretax Loss of at least $100 mil in any of the most recent three fiscal years.

These 33 Largest North Carolina Corps had Total Pretax Income of $34.1 bil in the most recent fiscal year 2011, which was an off-the-charts 106% increase over the $16.6 bil earned just two years earlier in 2009.

And I also found 42 additional Corps headquartered in North Carolina filing with the SEC with Pretax Income or Pretax Loss of at least $10 mil in any of the most recent three fiscal years, but with none of the three years having Pretax Income or Pretax Loss of more than $100 mil.

These 42 Smaller North Carolina Corps had their Total Pretax Income in the most recent fiscal year 2011 increase by an even more off-the-charts 148% from such amount two years earlier in 2009.

Thus, when you combine the Largest and Smaller North Carolina Corps, you get a total of 75 Largest North Carolina Corps filing with the SEC and which had their Total Pretax Income in the most recent fiscal year 2011 increase by an off-the-charts 106% over such amount two years earlier in 2009.

North Carolina citizens have to be very proud of their fine North Carolina companies, of all sizes.

And North Carolina citizens also have to be very happy with how the Obama Administration has created such a robust US economic environment which has fostered their companies' exceptional earnings growth in the most recent two years.

Corporate earnings drive stock prices.  These exceptional US corporate profits, generated during the Obama Administration, were the reason the US stock market has doubled in the past three and a half years.

In Texas and Oklahoma, Oil & Gas Corps rule.  In California, High Technology Corps rule.  And in North Carolina, the Financial Industry clearly rules.  More than half, or 55%, of the Total Pretax Income in 2011 of the 33 Largest North Carolina Corps was generated by Financial Corps.  And Financial Corps comprised 16 of the 42 Smaller North Carolina Corps.

The financial industry did cause the horrible financial meltdown, which still plays havoc on US economic growth and on US job creation.  But I think the smaller financial industry has gotten a bum rap here.  There were problems with some of their actions, but they were clearly bit players in the financial industry meltdown.  The blame clearly lies with the Big Financial Corps

I think there should be some wisely-designed tax and other incentives to make the smaller banks more competitive, and also more willing to lend to small and medium-sized businesses.

On the downside, the strong earnings of these Largest North Carolina Corps has completely stopped to a walk in the first half of 2012.  There is no way robust US job creation can occur when US Corporate Earnings are flat.

So, how does the country get out of this horrible economic pickle?

I think the only way the US economy will be great again is for a combination of a Moderate Democratic President and a US House under control by Moderate Democrats, who are willing to work across the aisle.  And a US Senate under control by Moderate Democrats, who also are willing to work across the aisle, would also help.

In such a political environment, I think you will see wise, effective legislation quickly passed which will spur US job creation.  I also think that the key ingredient here has to be very lucrative business tax incentives that can be earned only if the business sufficiently increases its number of US full-time employees, which have to be retained for a reasonable number of years, or else these tax benefits are recaptured.  That's legislation which benefits everyone.....businesses, the workers, and the want-to-be workers.  Then the country will be back to 2010 again, when US business earnings were on fire!  The only difference is that there will also be a quick, substantial cut in the US unemployment rate and in the US underemployment rate.

With Obama as President and the Uncompromising, Block-Voting, Very Conservative Republicans, unwilling to work across the aisle, remaining in control of the US House, there will be continued gridlock, and I think you'll see the US unemployment rate remaining above 8%, and probably averaging in the 8.5% to 9.0% range, through 2016.

And if Mitt Romney is elected President, and if both the US House and US Senate are also in Republican hands, I think you will see the US unemployment rate continually creep up, and average in the low double-digit percentages for the last three years of Romney's presidential term.

Why?  Because the key components of Romney's economic plan.....(1) substantial, no-job-creation-strings-attached income tax rate cuts for both very wealthy individuals and for large corporations, (2) tax-free foreign earnings repatriation, and (3) a worldwide territorial tax system.....in the aggregate, do create many jobs overseas, but do not create any jobs, in the aggregate, in the US.  And when you combine that with the more than 130,000 new people added to the available US workforce each month, you mathematically get a low double-digit percentage US unemployment rate starting in the first half of 2014.

And when you have continuing low double-digit percentage US unemployment rates, the annual US deficits will explode upwardly, and will be substantially higher than the present staggering annual US deficits.

In deriving Ongoing, Core Pretax Income, I start with Pretax Income under Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP), and then exclude several clearly unusual very large items relative to Pretax Income, such as Asset Impairments, and Gains and Losses on both Debt Retirements and Asset Dispositions.  For Bank of America, in addition to excluding Goodwill Impairment Charges, I also excluded the huge $14.0 bil Mortgage Representations and Warranties Provision Hit to Earnings recorded in the 2Q 2011.

I use Pretax Income rather than After-tax Net Income, since so much of the change in effective income tax rates just happens due to financial engineering.

I excluded Corps in the Development Stage.  I also excluded Corps with not significant enough Total Revenues. 

Below here is the Ongoing, Core Pretax Income (PTI) and Pretax Loss (PTL) of these 33 Largest and 42 Smaller North Carolina Corps for each of the most recent three years, along with the related percentage changes.






Obama





Bump





Two





Year





PTI(L) PTI(L) PTI(L)





% % %


Change Change Change


PTI(L) PTI(L) PTI(L) 2011 2010 2011

North Carolina 2011 2010 2009 vs vs vs

HQs mils $s mils $s mils $s 2010 2009 2009
North Carolina Largest Corps






Bank of America Charlotte 16,954 11,077 4,360 53% 154% 289%
Lowes Mooresville 3,294 3,299 2,939 0% 12% 12%
Reynolds American Winston-Salem 2,534 2,315 2,089 9% 11% 21%
Lorillard Greensboro 1,770 1,635 1,519 8% 8% 17%
BB&T Winston-Salem 1,628 969 1,036 68% -6% 57%
Nucor Charlotte 1,252 267 414 369% -36% 202%
VF Corp Greensboro 1,198 952 777 26% 23% 54%
Goodrich Charlotte 1,165 840 784 39% 7% 49%
Laboratory Corp America Burlington 866 916 885 -5% 4% -2%
Family Dollar Stores Charlotte 617 564 451 9% 25% 37%
Hanesbrands Winston-Salem 319 251 107 27% 135% 198%
Hatteras Financial Winston-Salem 284 170 174 67% -2% 63%
Carlisle Charlotte 254 188 176 35% 7% 44%
Belk Charlotte 250 196 97 28% 102% 158%
SPX Charlotte 248 272 291 -9% -7% -15%
Babcock & Wilcox Charlotte 235 236 232 0% 2% 1%
Old Dominion Freight Thomasville 220 124 57 77% 118% 286%
Red Hat Raleigh 208 154 122 35% 26% 70%
Harris Teeter Supermarkets Matthews 162 158 152 3% 4% 7%
First Citizens Bancshares Raleigh 160 168 79 -5% 113% 103%
Polypore International Charlotte 157 89 17 76% 424% 824%
Dex One Cary 157 289 51 146% 467% 208%
Sonic Automotive Charlotte 126 78 51 62% 53% 147%
Salix Pharmaceuticals Raleigh 113 11 (46) 927% 124% 346%
Martin Marietta Materials Raleigh 101 130 111 -22% 17% -9%
CATO Charlotte 100 93 67 8% 39% 49%
Speedway Motorsports Concord 74 71 109 4% -35% -32%
Cree Durham 48 178 205 -73% -13% -77%
Alliance One International Morrisville 40 0 133 NM -100% -70%
RF Micro Devices Greensboro 16 124 85 -87% 46% -81%
Triad Guaranty Winston-Salem (108) 102 (612) -206% 117% 82%
FNB United Asheboro (127) (125) (47) -2% -174% -179%
Fairpoint Communications Charlotte (237) (248) (292) 4% 7% 11%








Total all 33 Largest Corps
34,078 25,543 16,573 33% 54% 106%








North Carolina Smaller Corps






Fresh Market Greensboro 81 68 50 19% 36% 62%
EnPro Industries Charlotte 62 52 32 19% 63% 94%
Snyders-Lance Charlotte 60 46 53 30% -13% 13%
Coca Cola Bottling Charlotte 59 66 43 -11% 53% 37%
Ingles Markets Asheville 58 49 55 18% -11% 5%
Tanger Factory Outlet Centers Greensboro 51 46 31 11% 48% 65%
Pozen Chapel Hill 42 23 (7) 83% 429% 700%
Highwoods Properties Raleigh 39 42 41 -7% 2% -5%
Dynacast Intl Charlotte 33 58 23 -43% 152% 43%
Pantry Cary 27 41 83 -34% -51% -67%
Krispy Kreme Doughnuts Winston Salem 25 14 6 79% 133% 317%
Xerium Technologies Raleigh 22 2 (15) 1000% 121% 257%
Unifi Greensboro 16 35 18 -54% 172% 240%
Culp High Point 14 15 14 -7% 7% 0%
First Bancorp Troy 11 15 30 -27% -50% -63%
Capital Bank Raleigh 10 (46) (14) 113% -229% 143%
Insteel Industries Mount Airy 8 (1) (33) 900% 97% 124%
Newbridge Bancorp Lexington 6 3 (27) 100% 111% 122%
Campus Crest Communities Charlotte 4 (22) (17) 118% -29% 124%
HomeTrust Bancshares Asheville 4 (34) (28) 112% -21% 114%
Pike Electric Mount Airy 4 (13) 52 121% -125% -92%
Southern Community Financial Winston Salem 3 (19) (20) 116% 5% 115%
ASB Bancorp Asheville 2 (16) 2 113% -900% 0%
First South Bancorp Washington 2 (4) 11 150% -136% -82%
Cornerstone Therapeutics Cary 1 8 16 -88% -50% -94%
BNC Bancorp High Point (3) (12) 6 75% -300% -150%
Yadkin Valley Financial Elkin (3) (1) (22) -200% 95% 86%
American Defense Systems Lillington (3) (7) (12) 43% 42% 67%
Lime Energy Huntersville (6) (5) (15) -20% 67% 60%
Targacept Winston Salem (9) 14 (39) -164% 136% 77%
Four Oaks Fincorp Four Oaks (9) (22) (5) 59% -340% -80%
1st Financial Services Hendersonville (11) (9) (24) -22% 63% 54%
Primo Water Winston Salem (11) (10) (8) 10% -38% -38%
Park Sterling Charlotte (13) (13) 1 0% -1400% -1400%
Trans1 Wilmington (18) (20) (23) 10% 13% 22%
Tranzyme Durham (22) (7) (11) -214% 36% -100%
Bank of the Carolinas Mocksville (24) (4) (5) -500% 20% -380%
Tree.com Charlotte (26) (32) (6) 21% -450% -333%
Biodelivery Sciences International Raleigh (27) (16) 40 -63% -140% -168%
Horizon Lines Charlotte (33) 5 20 -760% -75% -265%
Ply Gem Cary (56) (64) (95) 11% 33% 40%
International Textile Group Greensboro (62) (41) (77) -58% 44% 12%





Total all 42 Smaller Corps
308 184 124 67% 48% 148%





Grand Total all 75 Corps
34,386 25,727 16,697 34% 54% 106%