Tuesday, November 12, 2013

Tennessee Non-Profit Hospital Earnings On Fire Under Obamacare and All Hospital Profits Headed Massively Higher If States Expand Medicaid All Throughout the US.....Part I

From a review of the Electronic Municipal Market Access (EMMA), I found 6 Non-Profit Hospital Organizations headquartered in Tennessee with Net Assets at the most recent date reported of more than $400 mil.  Below here are the Bottom Line Profits, Total Operating Revenues and the related Profit Margin Percentages in the most recent audited fiscal year reported for each of these 6 Tennessee Non-Profit Hospital Organizations:


Most




Recent




Annual Bottom


Fiscal Line Total Profit

City Year Net Operating Margin

HQs End Income Revenues %



mils $s mils $s
Tennessee Non-Profit Hospital Organizations










Methodist LeBonheur Healthcare Memphis Dec 2012          123             1,495 8.2%
St Jude Children's Hospital Memphis Jun 2012            76               979 7.8%
Mountain States Health Alliance Johnson City Jun 2013            60             1,059 5.7%
Covenant Health Knoxville Dec 2012            46             1,051 4.4%
Baptist Memorial Health Care Memphis Sep 2012            45             1,824 2.5%
Wellmont Health System Kingsport Jun 2013            33               798 4.1%






Total all 6

         383             7,206 5.3%


As you can see in the above chart, the Total Bottom Line Profits for these 6 Tennessee Non-Profit Hospital Organizations was $383 mil in the most recent audited fiscal year reported, which was a seemingly very reasonable 5.3% of Total Operating Revenues.

But this was a very low earnings year for these 6 Tennessee Non-Profit Hospital Organizations.  Let me explain.

A Non-Profit Hospital Organization's Net Assets, or its Excess of Total Assets over Total Liabilities, results overwhelmingly from the accumulated Tax-free Bottom Line Profits over time.

Since the beginning of the Obama Administration, these 6 Tennessee Non-Profit Hospital Organizations have seen their Total Net Assets grow from $5.248 bil to $7.895 bil at the most recently reported date, or an increase of $2.647 bil, or up a very robust 50% over this 4.04 average years period.

Thus, the Average Annual Earnings of these 6 Tennessee Non-Profit Hospitals during the Obama Administration were roughly $655 mil, or 71% greater than the $383 mil Total Earnings in the most recent year.

Thus over the entire 4.04 years, the Total Earnings for these 6 Tennessee Non-Profit Hospital Organization were significantly north of 10% of Total Operating Revenues over the same period.  As a comparison, the Combined Bottom Line Profit Margin of the prestigious 30 Dow Industrial companies is a much lower 9.6% of their Total Revenues in the most recent year.

When you compare the much higher than 10% Total Bottom Line Profit Margin of these 6 Tennessee Non-Profit Hospital Organizations with the 9.6% Total Bottom Line Profit Margin of the 30 Dow Industrials, which are some of the very best For-Profit US companies, the clear conclusion is that the earnings of these Tennessee Non-Profit Hospital Organizations have been on fire during the Obama Administration.

These exceptionally strong bottom line profits of these 6 Tennesee Non-Profit Hospital Organizations were attributable to superb fiscal measures and much more effective health care delivery adopted by hospital executives and hospital employees, which were initiated in conjunction with Obamacare.  In addition, the strong US stock market and lower interest rates added to investment returns and thus also to bottom line profits of these Hospital Organizations.

But there's even much more to this incredibly positive earnings story.

When the Insurance Exchanges kick in starting in 2014, both Tennessee Non-Profit and Tennessee For-Profit Hospital Organizations should see their profits increase by substantially much more.  And Tennessee is where most of the large For-Profit Hospital Organizations are headquartered 

Under the Affordable Care Act (ACA), Hospital Organizations' both future Hospital Operating Income and future Bottom Line Income will be bolstered robustly due to many of the Uninsured getting insurance and also due to the many of the Underinsured getting much better insurance.

Bottom Line Income is a combination of Hospital Operating Income and Non-Operating Income, with the latter being predominantly Investment Returns.

There are specifically two items which will drive higher Hospital Organization profits due to the ACA.

First, there is the Provision for Bad Debts' earnings charge which will be significantly reduced due to the substantially better insurance situation of hospital patients due to the ACA.  This Provision for Bad Debts' earnings charge is usually a separate report line on a Hospital Organization's audited Operating Statement.

And second, there is the Uncompensated Charity Care Costs' earnings charge for the amounts hospitals spend on charity care which will also be significantly reduced.  This Estimated Costs for Uncompensated Charity Care is usually disclosed in a Hospital Organization's footnotes which accompany its audited financial statements.

But to supercharge the Hospital Profit improvement, the key is to maximize the number of Tennessee residents who will switch from being uninsured to insured and who will switch from being underinsured to much better insured.  And the best supercharged fuel here to make this happen is for the State of Tennessee and other US States to elect to Expand Medicaid.  US States with a very high number of uninsured and underinsured are the ones whose future Hospital Earnings have the best shot of exploding upwardly if Medicaid is Expanded.
 
So what about the amounts of these two items.....Provision for Bad Debts and Uncompensated Charity Care Costs?  Well in Tennessee's case, they are monstrously large when compared to the related Hospital Operating Income.

When you think of the giant HCA, you first think of Tennessee, where it is headquartered.  But you know what?  Only 6% of HCA's combined licensed hospital beds are located in Tennessee.  There are many US States that haven't elected to Expand Medicaid where many of HCA acute hospital beds are located.  Just Florida and Texas combined house a total of 51% of HCA combined hospital beds.  Do you think HCA, as well as its common stockholders, want the States of Florida and Texas to Expand Medicaid?  You better believe it.  And in total, 77% of HCA's hospital beds are located in US States which presently do not expect to Expand Medicaid.

And it's the very same story with very large Tennessee headquartered Community Health System, which only has 7% of its total licensed hospital beds located in Tennessee.  In total, 51% of its total hospital beds are located in US States that presently do not plan to Expand Medicaid.  Just like HCA, Community Health System and its common stockholders also want to see Medicaid Expanded all throughout the US. 

From a review of the Electronic Municipal Market Access (EMMA), below here are the most recent audited year's Provision for Bad Debts and Uncompensated Charity Care Costs for the above 5 Tennessee Non-Profit Hospital Organizations which had Net Assets above $400 mil currently.  I excluded below the Memphis-based St Jude Children's Research Hospital.

In addition, I included below the three For-Profit large Tennessee Hospital Organizations.....HCA, Community Health System and LifePoint Hospitals.

Also, I included below a 8.9% allocation of Non-Profit Missouri-based Ascension Health's available acute hospital beds located in Tennessee as well as the 15.5% allocation of Florida-based Health Management Associates' acute hospital beds located in Tennessee:





One Year One



One Year Estimated Year One


Most Provision Cost of Total Year


Recent For Uncompensated Earnings Hospital


Annual Bad Charity Charge Operating


FYE Debts Care of Both Income



mils $s mils $s mils $s mils $s
Tennessee Hospital Organizations












HCA
Dec 2012       3,770             2,381      6,151       2,894
Community Health Systems
Dec 2012       1,959               125      2,084          619
LifePoint Hospitals
Dec 2012          624                 31        655          244
Baptist Memorial Health Memphis
Sep 2012          249                 55        304           (42)
Methodist LeBonheur Healthcare
Dec 2012          135                 88        223            58
TN 15.5% of Health Mgt Assoc
Dec 2012          135                 77        212            47
TN 8.9% of Ascension Health
Jun 2013          104                 47        151            35
Mountain States Health Alliance
Jun 2013          112                 24        136            11
Covenant Health
Dec 2012            86                 30        116            -  
Wellmont Health System
Jun 2012            55                 16          71            13







Total all 10

      7,229             2,874    10,103       3,879







Provision for Bad Debts



          7,229
Uncompensated Charity Care Costs



          2,874





   
Operating Income Excluding Bad Debts and Uncompensated Charity Care Costs
     13,982

So, these 10 Tennessee Non-Profit  and For-Profit Hospital Organizations had Audited Total Hospital Operating Income of $3.879 bil in the most recent fiscal year audited.  Driving down this $3.879 bil Total Hospital Operating Income were Total Provisions for Bad Debts of a massive $7.229 bil and Total Costs of Uncompensated Charity Care of another massive $2.874 bil.  Thus, exclusive of these two earnings charges, Total Hospital Operating Income would have been $13.982 bil, which is a massive $10.103 bil higher than the reported $3.879 bil.

Granted these two monstrous earnings charges will not be totally eliminated with the ACA, but a very significant amount of these two earnings charges will be eliminated.  The percentage of these two charges eliminated will not be nearly as high in Tennessee since it has chosen not to expand Medicaid as it will be in the States electing to expand Medicaid.  But it will still be a very significant percentage reduction in Tennessee.

And the above two massive earnings charges are just for one year.

With these exceptionally strong, ongoing Tennessee Hospital earnings under Obamacare, the ultimate result should be a reduction in hospital patient charges, a bending back of the US Long-term Total Health Care Cost Curve and a reduction in the US Debt.  And if Tennessee and other US States eventually see the light and elect to Expand Medicaid, after all there is virtually no cost to the State for Expanding Medicaid, the ultimate result should be a substantial reduction in hospital patient charges, a very significant bending back of the US Long-term Total Health Care Cost Curve and a substantial reduction in the US Debt.

That's quite a financial Trifecta!

And it also only makes sense that some of these huge past and future bottom line profits of these US Hospital Organizations, both Non-Profit and For-Profit ones, should be used to wisely fund a substantial portion of the elimination of the US Government Sequester Cost Cuts over the next several years which are now being negotiated by 29 US Congressional members of the Bicameral Committee Conference on Budget Negotiations.  Both clear-thinking Republicans and clear-thinking Democrats should be on board with this wise funding vehicle.  






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