Tuesday, February 19, 2019

Both Washington DC and Virginia Companies Total Pretax Earnings Drop Sharply in the December 2018 Quarter

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All 5 Washington DC Cos Excluding Fannie Mae With Stock Market Caps Above $1 Bil and Releasing Their December 2018 Quarter Earnings By February 19, 2019 Saw Their Total Pretax Earnings Decline By 36% in the December 2018 Quarter and By 2% in the September 2018 Quarter
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All 32 Virginia Cos Excluding Freddie Mac With Stock Market Caps Above $1 Bil and Releasing Their December 2018 Quarter Earnings By February 19, 2019 Saw Their Total Pretax Earnings Decline By 14% in the December 2018 Quarter, a Sharp Negative Earnings Reversal From Their 23% Increase in the September 2018 Quarter

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So, DC Area Companies Total Pretax Earnings Dropped Sharply Across the Board in the December 2018 Quarter, Since in a Very Recent Post, I also Disclosed that Maryland Companies Total Pretax Earnings Dropped Precipitously By 54% in the December 2018 Quarter, a Very Sharp Negative Earnings Reversal From Their 20% Increase in the September 2018 Quarter
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But it Gets Even Worse!
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DC-Based Giant Fannie Mae Posted Pretax Earnings Which Declined By 18% in the December 2018 Quarter, a Reversal From the Pretax Earnings Increases in Each of the First Three Quarters of 2018: Up By 11% in the September 2018 Quarter, Up By 17% in the June 2018 Quarter and Up By 30% in the March 2018 Quarter
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And McLean, Virginia-Based Freddie Mac Saw Its Pretax Earnings Collapse in the Most Recent Two Quarters.  Freddie Mac Posted Very Nice Pretax Earnings Increases of 11% in the March 2018 Quarter and of 26% in the June 2018 Quarter.  Then the S*** Hit the Fan, With Freddie Mac's Pretax Earnings Declining Precipitously By 55% in the September 2018 Quarter and Declining By an Even Higher 64% in the December 2018 Quarter  
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From a review of company SEC filings and of MSN Money individual company common stock information, I found 9 Washington DC Companies with stock market caps sometime in 2018 of more than $1 Bil and with December 2018 Quarter Ends.

Of these 9 Washington DC Companies, 6 of them have released their December 2018 Quarterly Earnings by February 19, 2019.

I also found 59 Virginia Companies with stock market caps sometime in 2018 of more than $1 Bil and with December 2018 Quarter Ends.

Of these 59 Virginia Companies, 33 of them have released their December 2018 Quarterly Earnings by February 19, 2019.

My Focus is on Pretax Income rather than on After-Tax Net Income because Corporate Income Taxes are simply a transfer of financial wealth between US Corporations and the US Federal, US State and Foreign Governments.  It has nothing whatsoever to do with Company Operating Performance.

The chart below shows the Gold-Standard US GAAP Pretax Income (Loss) From Continuing Operations for each quarter of 2018 as compared with that of the prior year quarter of 2017 for each of these 6 Washington DC Companies and 33 Virginia Companies.

US US US US US US US US
GAAP GAAP GAAP GAAP GAAP GAAP GAAP GAAP
Pretax Pretax Pretax Pretax Pretax Pretax Pretax Pretax
Income Income Income Income Income Income Income Income
(Loss) (Loss) (Loss) (Loss) (Loss) (Loss) (Loss) (Loss)
  Dec Dec Better Sept Sept Better June June Better March March Better
Washington DC & Virginia Cos 2018 2017 (Worse) 2018 2017 (Worse) 2018 2017 (Worse) 2018 2017 (Worse)
December 2018 Qtr Earnings Quarter Quarter % Quarter Quarter % Quarter Quarter % Quarter Quarter %
Released By February 19, 2019 End End  Change End End  Change End End  Change End End  Change
mils $ mils $ mils $ mils $ mils $ mils $ mils $ mils $
Washington DC Cos
Fannie Mae       4,058       4,956 -18%       5,056       4,548 11%       5,593       4,787 17%       5,392       4,156 30%
Danaher          943          979 -4%          801          730 10%          835          645 29%          713          585 22%
Vanda Pharmaceuticals            10            (2) NM              7            (5) NM              5            (2) NM              3            (8) NM
Washington REIT              6              2 200%              6              3 100%            11              8 38%              3              7 -57%
The Carlyle Group LP          (79)          395 -120%            61          166 -63%          253          244 4%          125          328 -62%
WGL Holdings  N/A   N/A   N/A         (274)              5 NM          (18)              6 -395%          159          189 -16%
Total all 5 DC Cos No Fannie Mae          880       1,374 -36%          875          894 -2%       1,104          896 23%          844          912 -7%
Total all 6 DC Cos with Fannie Mae       4,938       6,330 -22%       5,931       5,442 9%       6,697       5,683 18%       6,236       5,068 23%
Virginia Cos
….. Northern Virginia Cos
Freddie Mac       1,393       3,822 -64%       3,262       7,190 -55%       3,145       2,501 26%       3,674       3,321 11%
Capital One Financial       1,243       1,308 -5%       1,921       1,585 21%       2,492       1,490 67%       1,662       1,109 50%
General Dynamics       1,132       1,008 12%       1,023       1,027 0%          970       1,032 -6%          960       1,010 -5%
Willis Towers Watson          477            80 496%            36          (35) NM            74            49 51%          264          398 -34%
DXC Technology          469          341 38%          332          284 17%          360            91 296%          661        (187) NM
Northop Grumman          403       1,309 -69%       1,237          782 58%          849          812 5%          871          788 11%
AvalonBay Community          386          237 63%          192          238 -19%          255          165 55%          142          236 -40%
NVR Inc          277          261 6%          250          244 2%          242          209 16%          191          132 45%
Hilton Worldwide          266          181 47%          293          256 14%          298          250 19%          221            66 235%
Verisign          234          142 65%          178          150 19%          165          160 3%          152          148 3%
Leidos Holding          150            34 341%          170          116 47%          165          135 22%          125          108 16%
Booz Allen Hamilton          140          106 32%          120          111 8%          137 107 28%          112          108 4%
CACI Intl            93            77 21%            91            56 63%            71            68 4%            94            55 71%
Maximus            76            80 -5%            62            78 -21%            85            83 2%            72            80 -10%
ePLUS            21            16 31%            25            29 -14%            21            21 -1%            18            19 -5%
MicroStrategy Inc              2            18 -89%            11            21 -48%              6            13 -53%              1            20 -94%
Beacon Roofing Supply            (0)            27 -100%            71            74 -4%            67            71 -6%          (97)          (15) NM
Engility Holdings  N/A   N/A   N/A             10            16 -38%            18            15 20%              8            13 -38%
All 17 Cos No Freddie Mac       5,369       5,225 3%       6,022       5,032 20%       6,275       4,770 32%       5,457       4,088 33%
Total 18 NoVA Cos with Freddie Mac     10,848       9,047 20%       9,284     12,222 -24%       9,420       7,271 30%       9,131       7,409 23%
….. Southern Virginia Cos
Altria Group       1,710       2,183 -22%       2,608       2,644 -1%       2,557       2,910 -12%       2,466       2,091 18%
Norfolk Southern          930          893 4%          908          800 14%          924          780 18%          707          655 8%
Dominion Energy          757          620 22%       1,145          968 18%          566          553 2%          661          949 -30%
Huntington Ingalls Industries          219          187 17%          295          220 34%          262          218 20%          195          147 33%
NewMarket            71            65 9%            68            77 -12%            70            85 -18%            81            88 -8%
Advance Auto Parts            70            74 -5%          147          144 2%          157          136 15%          181          166 9%
Performance Food Group            56            34 65%            35            36 -3%            79            67 18%            45            33 36%
Union Bankshares            53            27 96%            46            28 64%            61            24 154%            19            26 -27%
Brink's Co            51            58 -12%            42            38 11%          (89)            31 -387%            37            55 -33%
TowneBank            47            35 34%            48            40 20%            45            40 13%            32            32 0%
Universal Corp            39            62 -37%            50            42 19%              6              3 100%            59            56 5%
Trex Co            33            25 32%            39            30 30%            57            44 30%            47            42 12%
Genworth Financial        (413)        (290) NM          273          286 -5%          360          401 -10%          228          332 -31%
Markel        (930)          144 NM          519        (360) NM          361          210 72%            43            94 -54%
DominionEnergyMidstreamLP  N/A   N/A   N/A           159            35 354%          132            32 313%            34            54 -37%
Total 15 Southern Virginia Cos       2,693       4,117 -35%       6,382       5,028 27%       5,548       5,534 0%       4,835       4,820 0%
Total 32 Virginia Cos No Freddie       8,062       9,342 -14%     12,404     10,060 23%     11,823     10,304 15%     10,292       8,908 16%
Total 33 Virginia Cos with Freddie       9,455     13,164 -28%     15,666     17,250 -9%     14,968     12,805 17%     13,966     12,229 14%