Thursday, June 28, 2018
US Commerce Dept's Bureau of Economic Analysis Just Reported in Its Table 12 1Q 2018 Total US Co Pretax Income Was Up 6.8% Over the 1Q 2017, Significantly Below My 12.2% Growth For All 2,018 US Publicly-Held Cos With Stock Market Caps Above $1 Bil Filing With the SEC ........................................................................................ I Wish I Could Understand Why the US Commerce Dept Has Lower 1Q 2018 US Pretax Income Growth Than I Do ..... Maybe It's the Lower US Pretax Income Growth For US Privately-Held US Cos? Or Maybe Some of the Individual Companies Earnings Growth Being Reported to the SEC Isn't Real and Instead is Being Artificially Inflated By Accounting Engineering Maneuvers? After Reviewing More Than 2,000 of Them in Depth, My Hunch is That It's Much More the Latter ........................................................................................ Given the Importance of This US Cos Total Pretax Profit Growth In Measuring the Success of US Capitalism, I Think It Would Be Wise For the US Commerce Dept and the US SEC To Reconcile Their 1Q 2018 Total Profit Increase Differences ........................................................................................ The US Stock Market Cannot Like This Huge Discrepancy in US Pretax Profit Numbers ..... Earnings Drive Stock Prices
Saturday, June 16, 2018
The 132 US Cos With April Quarter Ends and With Market Caps of At Least $1 Bil Generated April 2018 Quarter Total Pretax Income (PTI) of $30.5 Bil, Up 4% From Their April 2017 Quarter, a Huge Growth Deceleration From the March 2018 Quarter Total PTI Growth of 12% of the 1,836 US Cos With March 2018 Quarter Ends ........................................................................................ It's All About a High % of Retail Cos (Total PTI Down 14%) and a Very Low % of Highly Profitable Oil & Gas Cos in the April #s ........................................................................................ The 42 US Technology Cos Did Just Fantastic in the April 2018 Quarter (Total PTI Was $10.2 Bil, Up 39%), Very Similar To How They Did in the March 2018 Quarter ........................................................................................ The 33 California Tech Cos Posted April 2018 Quarter Total PTI of $9.7 Bil, Up 36% From Their April 2017 Quarter and Their Total After-Tax Net Income Was Up an Off-the-Charts 147% (These California Techs Know How To Creatively Master the Deeply-Flawed Trump Tax Cuts Act) ........................................................................................ Many of the 43 US Retail Cos Got Their April 2018 Quarter Margins Amazoned, Posting April 2018 Quarter Total PTI of $13.0 Bil, a Very Disappointing 14% Decline From Their Total PTI of $15.1 Bil in the April 2017 Quarter ........................................................................................ And the 47 US Cos in All Other Sectors Generated April 2018 Quarter Total PTI of $7.3 Bil, Up 6% From Their April 2017 Quarters ........................................................................................
From a review of SEC filings, the below chart shows the US GAAP Pretax Income (Loss) From Continuing Operations, the US GAAP Net Income (Loss) From Continuing Operations and the related US GAAP Income Tax Expense for the April 2018 and 2017 Quarters for all US Companies including both Partnerships and REITs which are Headquartered in the US with April 2018 Quarter Ends, with stock market caps of at least $1 Bil recently and which have released their April 2018 Quarter Earnings by June 15, 2018.
I will update this quarterly earnings chart later for the 7 Companies (the largest being Kroger) with April 2018 Quarter End Earnings which haven't reported their April 2018 Quarter Earnings yet.
I will update this quarterly earnings chart later for the 7 Companies (the largest being Kroger) with April 2018 Quarter End Earnings which haven't reported their April 2018 Quarter Earnings yet.
US GAAP | US GAAP | US GAAP | US GAAP | ||||||||||
US GAAP | US GAAP | US GAAP | US GAAP | US GAAP | US GAAP | Effective | Effective | Pretax | Net | ||||
Pretax | Income | Net | Pretax | Income | Net | Income | Income | Income | Income | ||||
US Company | Income | Tax | Income | Income | Tax | Income | Tax | Tax | % Change | % Change | |||
Market Caps of $1 Bil + | (Loss) | Expense | (Loss) | (Loss) | Expense | (Loss) | Rate | Rate | April Qtr | April Qtr | |||
Releasing April 2018 | April Qtr | April Qtr | April Qtr | April Qtr | April Qtr | April Qtr | April Qtr | April Qtr | 2018 | 2018 | |||
Qtr Earnings Thru 6-15-18 | 2018 | 2018 | 2018 | 2017 | 2017 | 2017 | 2018 | 2017 | vs 2017 | vs 2017 | |||
mils $ | mils $ | mils $ | mils $ | mils $ | mils $ | ||||||||
California Tech Cos | |||||||||||||
Cisco Systems | 3,253 | 562 | 2,691 | 3,191 | 676 | 2,515 | 17.3% | 21.2% | 2% | 7% | |||
Intuit | 1,617 | 417 | 1,200 | 1,439 | 475 | 964 | 25.8% | 33.0% | 12% | 24% | |||
NVIDIA | 1,311 | 67 | 1,244 | 536 | 29 | 507 | 5.1% | 5.4% | 145% | 145% | |||
Applied Materials | 1,295 | 166 | 1,129 | 908 | 84 | 824 | 12.8% | 9.3% | 43% | 37% | |||
VMWare | 1,175 | 233 | 942 | 281 | 36 | 245 | 19.8% | 12.8% | 318% | 284% | |||
Broadcom Ltd | 1,099 | (2,637) | 3,736 | 365 | (103) | 468 | -239.9% | -28.2% | 201% | 698% | |||
Salesforce.com | 385 | 41 | 344 | (10) | (11) | 1 | 10.6% | 110.0% | 3950% | 34300% | |||
NetApp | 303 | 32 | 271 | 248 | 58 | 190 | 10.6% | 23.4% | 22% | 43% | |||
Marvell Technology | 132 | 4 | 128 | 59 | 10 | 49 | 3.0% | 16.9% | 124% | 161% | |||
Synopsys | 119 | 17 | 102 | 62 | 9 | 53 | 14.3% | 14.5% | 92% | 92% | |||
HP Inc | 83 | (975) | 1,058 | 754 | 195 | 559 | -1174.7% | 25.9% | -89% | 89% | |||
Veeva Systems | 46 | 2 | 44 | 39 | 2 | 37 | 4.3% | 5.1% | 18% | 19% | |||
Stitch Fix | 10 | - | 10 | (9) | 1 | (10) | 0.0% | -11.1% | 211% | 200% | |||
QAD Inc | 2 | 1 | 1 | (2) | 1 | (3) | 50.0% | -50.0% | 200% | 133% | |||
Semtech | (5) | (17) | 12 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 340.0% | 25.0% | -131% | 0% | |||
Ambarella | (9) | 1 | (10) | 3 | - | 3 | -11.1% | 0.0% | -400% | -433% | |||
Zscaler | (9) | - | (9) | (8) | - | (8) | 0.0% | 0.0% | -13% | -13% | |||
Coupa Software | (15) | - | (15) | (10) | - | (10) | 0.0% | 0.0% | -50% | -50% | |||
Zuora | (19) | - | (19) | (8) | (8) | 0.0% | 0.0% | -138% | -138% | ||||
Okta Inc | (26) | - | (26) | (28) | - | (28) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7% | 7% | |||
Guideware Software | (28) | 21 | (49) | (3) | (1) | (2) | -75.0% | 33.3% | -833% | -2350% | |||
Finisar | (30) | (12) | (18) | 35 | (95) | 130 | 40.0% | -271.4% | -186% | -114% | |||
Pivotal Software | (33) | - | (33) | (48) | 4 | (52) | 0.0% | -8.3% | 31% | 37% | |||
Box Inc | (37) | - | (37) | (40) | - | (40) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8% | 8% | |||
Cloudera | (50) | 1 | (51) | (222) | - | (222) | -2.0% | 0.0% | 77% | 77% | |||
Palo Alto Networks | (50) | (3) | (47) | (53) | 8 | (61) | 6.0% | -15.1% | 6% | 23% | |||
Pure Storage | (63) | 1 | (64) | (56) | 1 | (57) | -1.6% | -1.8% | -13% | -12% | |||
AutoDesk | (64) | 18 | (82) | (121) | 8 | (129) | -28.1% | -6.6% | 47% | 36% | |||
Workday | (75) | (1) | (74) | (62) | 2 | (64) | 1.3% | -3.2% | -21% | -16% | |||
Nutanix | (94) | 3 | (97) | (87) | (1) | (86) | -3.2% | 1.1% | -8% | -13% | |||
Hewlett Packard Enterprises | (116) | (966) | 850 | 113 | 591 | (478) | 832.8% | 523.0% | -203% | 278% | |||
Splunk | (120) | (2) | (118) | (114) | 1 | (115) | 1.7% | -0.9% | -5% | -3% | |||
DocuSign | (270) | 1 | (271) | (19) | - | (19) | -0.4% | 0.0% | -1321% | -1326% | |||
Total all 33 CA Tech | 9,717 | (3,025) | 12,742 | 7,149 | 1,984 | 5,165 | -31.1% | 27.8% | 36% | 147% | |||
Non-California Tech Cos | |||||||||||||
Analog Devices | 402 | 22 | 380 | 87 | (7) | 94 | 5.5% | -8.0% | 362% | 304% | |||
Science Applications Intl | 55 | 6 | 49 | 52 | 3 | 49 | 10.9% | 5.8% | 6% | 0% | |||
Tech Data | 43 | 9 | 34 | 45 | 14 | 31 | 20.9% | 31.1% | -4% | 10% | |||
Cirrus Logic | 22 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 10 | 35 | 45.5% | 22.2% | -51% | -66% | |||
Verint Systems | (1) | - | (1) | (20) | (1) | (19) | 0.0% | 5.0% | 95% | 95% | |||
Smartsheet | (14) | - | (14) | (7) | - | (7) | 0.0% | 0.0% | -100% | -100% | |||
SecureWorks | (17) | (3) | (14) | (19) | (6) | (13) | 17.6% | 31.6% | 11% | -8% | |||
Yext Inc | (18) | - | (18) | (16) | - | (16) | 0.0% | 0.0% | -13% | -13% | |||
MongoDB | (29) | - | (29) | (20) | - | (20) | 0.0% | 0.0% | -45% | -45% | |||
Total 9 Non-Cal Tech Cos | 443 | 44 | 399 | 147 | 13 | 134 | 9.9% | 8.8% | 201% | 198% | |||
Total all 42 Tech Cos | 10,160 | (2,981) | 13,141 | 7,296 | 1,997 | 5,299 | -29.3% | 27.4% | 39% | 148% | |||
Retail Cos | |||||||||||||
Home Depot | 3,142 | 738 | 2,404 | 3,108 | 1,094 | 2,014 | 23.5% | 35.2% | 1% | 19% | |||
Walmart | 2,822 | 546 | 2,276 | 4,674 | 1,522 | 3,152 | 19.3% | 32.6% | -40% | -28% | |||
Lowes | 1,305 | 317 | 988 | 934 | 332 | 602 | 24.3% | 35.5% | 40% | 64% | |||
TJX Cos | 955 | 239 | 716 | 832 | 296 | 536 | 25.0% | 35.6% | 15% | 34% | |||
Target | 927 | 210 | 717 | 1,030 | 355 | 675 | 22.7% | 34.5% | -10% | 6% | |||
Ross Stores | 542 | 124 | 418 | 498 | 177 | 321 | 22.9% | 35.5% | 9% | 30% | |||
AutoZone | 504 | 137 | 367 | 494 | 162 | 332 | 27.2% | 32.8% | 2% | 11% | |||
Dollar General | 465 | 100 | 365 | 445 | 166 | 279 | 21.5% | 37.3% | 4% | 31% | |||
Best Buy | 257 | 49 | 208 | 292 | 104 | 188 | 19.1% | 35.6% | -12% | 11% | |||
Foot Locker | 229 | 64 | 165 | 269 | 89 | 180 | 27.9% | 33.1% | -15% | -8% | |||
The Gap | 219 | 55 | 164 | 238 | 95 | 143 | 25.1% | 39.9% | -8% | 15% | |||
Ulta Beauty | 211 | 47 | 164 | 189 | 61 | 128 | 22.3% | 32.3% | 12% | 28% | |||
Dollar Tree | 208 | 47 | 161 | 314 | 113 | 201 | 22.6% | 36.0% | -34% | -20% | |||
Tiffany | 190 | 48 | 142 | 136 | 43 | 93 | 25.3% | 31.6% | 40% | 53% | |||
Macy's | 183 | 52 | 131 | 145 | 68 | 77 | 28.4% | 46.9% | 26% | 70% | |||
CoPart | 171 | 44 | 127 | 131 | 41 | 90 | 25.7% | 31.3% | 31% | 41% | |||
Nordstrom | 125 | 38 | 87 | 103 | 40 | 63 | 30.4% | 38.8% | 21% | 38% | |||
Dillards | 103 | 23 | 80 | 102 | 36 | 66 | 22.3% | 35.3% | 1% | 21% | |||
Burlington Stores | 100 | 17 | 83 | 75 | 23 | 52 | 17.0% | 30.7% | 33% | 60% | |||
Kohls | 97 | 22 | 75 | 109 | 43 | 66 | 22.7% | 39.4% | -11% | 14% | |||
Dick's Sporting Goods | 84 | 24 | 60 | 92 | 34 | 58 | 28.6% | 37.0% | -9% | 3% | |||
Williams-Sonoma | 65 | 20 | 45 | 63 | 23 | 40 | 30.8% | 36.5% | 3% | 13% | |||
Cracker Barrel | 60 | 11 | 49 | 68 | 21 | 47 | 18.3% | 30.9% | -12% | 4% | |||
L Brands | 58 | 11 | 47 | 118 | 24 | 94 | 19.0% | 20.3% | -51% | -50% | |||
Dave & Busters Entertainment | 56 | 14 | 42 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 25.0% | 30.6% | -10% | -2% | |||
Urban Outfitters | 54 | 13 | 41 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 24.1% | 42.9% | 157% | 242% | |||
American Eagle Outfitters | 51 | 11 | 40 | 37 | 12 | 25 | 21.6% | 32.4% | 38% | 60% | |||
Michaels Companies | 46 | 19 | 27 | 109 | 37 | 72 | 41.3% | 33.9% | -58% | -63% | |||
Big Lots | 44 | 13 | 31 | 78 | 27 | 51 | 29.5% | 34.6% | -44% | -39% | |||
Gamestop | 43 | 15 | 28 | 87 | 28 | 59 | 34.9% | 32.2% | -51% | -53% | |||
Chico's FAS | 40 | 11 | 29 | 55 | 21 | 34 | 27.5% | 38.2% | -27% | -15% | |||
RH | 37 | 9 | 28 | (5) | (2) | (3) | 24.3% | 40.0% | 840% | 1033% | |||
DSW Inc | 35 | 11 | 24 | 39 | 16 | 23 | 31.4% | 41.0% | -10% | 4% | |||
Ollie's Bargain Outlet | 35 | 5 | 30 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 14.3% | 26.9% | 35% | 58% | |||
Five Below | 26 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15.4% | 38.5% | 100% | 175% | |||
Buckle | 25 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 10 | 16 | 28.0% | 38.5% | -4% | 13% | |||
Childrens Place | 23 | (9) | 32 | 42 | 6 | 36 | -39.1% | 14.3% | -45% | -11% | |||
Casey's General Stores | 19 | - | 19 | 43 | 13 | 30 | 0.0% | 30.2% | -56% | -37% | |||
At Home Group | 18 | - | 18 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0.0% | 37.5% | 13% | 80% | |||
Tailored Brands | 18 | 4 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 22.2% | 66.7% | 200% | 600% | |||
Conn's | 16 | 3 | 13 | (4) | (2) | (2) | 18.8% | 50.0% | 500% | 750% | |||
Abercrombie & Fitch | (45) | (4) | (41) | (74) | (13) | (61) | 8.9% | 17.6% | 39% | 33% | |||
Signet Jewelers Ltd | (583) | (86) | (497) | 103 | 24 | 79 | 14.8% | 23.3% | -666% | -729% | |||
Total all 43 Retail Cos | 12,980 | 3,023 | 9,957 | 15,139 | 5,189 | 9,950 | 23.3% | 34.3% | -14% | 0% | |||
Cos in All Other Sectors | |||||||||||||
Medtronic plc | 1,725 | 260 | 1,465 | 1,435 | 271 | 1,164 | 15.1% | 18.9% | 20% | 26% | |||
Deere & Co | 1,387 | 177 | 1,210 | 1,174 | 366 | 808 | 12.8% | 31.2% | 18% | 50% | |||
H & R Block | 1,231 | 85 | 1,146 | 1,212 | 425 | 787 | 6.9% | 35.1% | 2% | 46% | |||
Vail Resorts | 344 | 72 | 272 | 298 | 101 | 197 | 20.9% | 33.9% | 15% | 38% | |||
Hormel Foods | 297 | 59 | 238 | 316 | 105 | 211 | 19.9% | 33.2% | -6% | 13% | |||
JM Smucker | 264 | 78 | 186 | 162 | 52 | 110 | 29.5% | 32.1% | 63% | 69% | |||
Agilent Technologies | 227 | 22 | 205 | 191 | 27 | 164 | 9.7% | 14.1% | 19% | 25% | |||
PVH Corp | 216 | 37 | 179 | 84 | 14 | 70 | 17.1% | 16.7% | 157% | 156% | |||
Brown Forman | 197 | 53 | 144 | 128 | 18 | 110 | 26.9% | 14.1% | 54% | 31% | |||
Thor Industries | 181 | 47 | 134 | 166 | 55 | 111 | 26.0% | 33.1% | 9% | 21% | |||
Toro Co | 169 | 38 | 131 | 158 | 38 | 120 | 22.5% | 24.1% | 7% | 9% | |||
Toll Brothers | 153 | 41 | 112 | 199 | 74 | 125 | 26.8% | 37.2% | -23% | -10% | |||
Eaton Vance | 130 | 34 | 96 | 137 | 49 | 88 | 26.2% | 35.8% | -5% | 9% | |||
HD Supply Holdings | 118 | 29 | 89 | 77 | 19 | 58 | 24.6% | 24.7% | 53% | 53% | |||
Nordson | 118 | 27 | 91 | 95 | 30 | 65 | 22.9% | 31.6% | 24% | 40% | |||
Donaldson Co | 99 | 29 | 70 | 84 | 24 | 60 | 29.3% | 28.6% | 18% | 17% | |||
Heico | 86 | 20 | 66 | 75 | 24 | 51 | 23.3% | 32.0% | 15% | 29% | |||
Keysight Technologies | 83 | 19 | 64 | 22 | (27) | 49 | 22.9% | -122.7% | 277% | 31% | |||
United Natural Foods | 78 | 26 | 52 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 33.3% | 40.0% | 30% | 44% | |||
Greif | 73 | 21 | 52 | 63 | 23 | 40 | 28.8% | 36.5% | 16% | 30% | |||
John Wiley & Sons | 70 | 16 | 54 | 59 | 12 | 47 | 22.9% | 20.3% | 19% | 15% | |||
Navistar | 68 | 7 | 61 | (69) | 6 | (75) | 10.3% | -8.7% | 199% | 181% | |||
Korn/Ferry Intl | 58 | 16 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 28 | 27.6% | 20.0% | 66% | 50% | |||
Sanderson Farms | 55 | 13 | 42 | 103 | 36 | 67 | 23.6% | 35.0% | -47% | -37% | |||
Cooper Cos | 54 | (7) | 61 | 110 | 5 | 105 | -13.0% | 4.5% | -51% | -42% | |||
KLX Inc | 42 | 10 | 32 | 29 | 11 | 18 | 23.8% | 37.9% | 45% | 78% | |||
Brady Corp | 37 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 8 | 23 | 29.7% | 25.8% | 19% | 13% | |||
ABM Industries | 32 | 7 | 25 | 49 | 17 | 32 | 21.9% | 34.7% | -35% | -22% | |||
Oxford Industries | 28 | 7 | 21 | 29 | 12 | 17 | 25.0% | 41.4% | -3% | 24% | |||
American Woodward | 28 | 9 | 19 | 27 | 10 | 17 | 32.1% | 37.0% | 4% | 12% | |||
Raven Industries | 27 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 18.5% | 33.3% | 50% | 83% | |||
Cantel Medical | 26 | 7 | 19 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 26.9% | 33.3% | -4% | 6% | |||
Dycom Industries | 24 | 7 | 17 | 62 | 23 | 39 | 29.2% | 37.1% | -61% | -56% | |||
Caleres | 22 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 22.7% | 28.6% | 5% | 13% | |||
KMG Chemicals | 21 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 23.8% | 33.3% | 133% | 167% | |||
HealthEquity | 21 | (2) | 23 | 16 | 2 | 14 | -9.5% | 12.5% | 31% | 64% | |||
Ciena | 20 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 4 | 38 | 30.0% | 9.5% | -52% | -63% | |||
Calavo Growers | 19 | 5 | 14 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 26.3% | 38.1% | -10% | 8% | |||
G-III Apparel Group Ltd | 13 | 3 | 10 | (16) | (6) | (10) | 23.1% | 37.5% | 181% | 200% | |||
REV Group | 10 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 30.0% | 36.4% | -9% | 0% | |||
Analogic | 8 | 1 | 7 | (65) | (5) | (60) | 12.5% | 7.7% | 112% | 112% | |||
Movado Group | 8 | - | 8 | (4) | - | (4) | 0.0% | 0.0% | 300% | 300% | |||
Argan | 7 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 28.6% | 34.4% | -78% | -76% | |||
Verifone Systems | (8) | 9 | (17) | (81) | 9 | (90) | -112.5% | -11.1% | 90% | 81% | |||
NCI Building Systems | (8) | (2) | (6) | 26 | 9 | 17 | 25.0% | 34.6% | -131% | -135% | |||
Guess? | (27) | (6) | (21) | (22) | (1) | (21) | 22.2% | 4.5% | -23% | 0% | |||
Campbell Soup | (517) | (124) | (393) | 270 | 94 | 176 | 24.0% | 34.8% | -291% | -323% | |||
Total all 47 in Other Sectors | 7,314 | 1,187 | 6,127 | 6,906 | 2,012 | 4,894 | 16.2% | 29.1% | 6% | 25% | |||
Total all 132 US Cos | 30,454 | 1,229 | 29,225 | 29,341 | 9,198 | 20,143 | 4.0% | 31.3% | 4% | 45% |
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