Friday, May 3, 2013

US Technology Corps 1Q 2013 Adjusted After-tax Earnings Down 5%: Clearly Need US Fiscal Stimulus

I found 52 US Technology Corps which have filed their calendar 1Q 2013 earnings with the SEC by May 2, 2013, and which had Core Adjusted After-tax Earnings of more than $100 mil in either the 1Q 2013 or the 1Q 2012.

Core Adjusted After-tax Earnings is what these companies report as their Ongoing Earnings in their quarterly earnings releases.  It is also the key earnings element that the stock market uses to value common stocks.

These 52 US Technology Corps, in the aggregate, were just crushed in the 1Q 2013, with their Total Core Adjusted After-tax Earnings down 5% from the 1Q 2012.  And it was really much worse than that since nearly all of these Technology companies have huge Research and Development Tax Credits, and many of them included their full year 2012 Research and Development Tax Credits in their 1Q 2013 Core Adjusted After-tax Earnings.
 
The main drivers of this 5% Total Adjusted Earnings decline in the 1Q 2013 were Apple, Seagate Technology and Intel.

The Technology companies generating the highest dollars of Adjusted Earnings increase in the 1Q 2013 as compared with the 1Q 2012 were Google, Microsoft and Qualcomm.

It's pretty clear that this critical US Technology Sector needs a huge dose of US economic fiscal stimulation.  This is particularly important since this is where many of the good-paying US jobs are.  But with such lousy 1Q 2013 earnings, the prospects for an increase in these well-paying, full-time US jobs of these Technology Corps doesn't look good for at least the rest of 2013, unless there is a sharp upward earnings reversal.  And certainly the near-term huge Sequester US Government spending cuts will not help here.....just the opposite, and hugely so.

And since these larger US Technology Corps are doing so poorly on an operating basis in the 1Q 2013, it is certain that the smaller ones are doing likewise, and probably even more so.

Don't get misled by the massive stock market upward move so far in 2013.  It's not about strong operating earnings in the 1Q 2013 because they are just not there.  It is all about the US Fed providing such low interest rates for an extended period of time, thereby providing such meager yields on alternative fixed income investments, coupled with also providing an increased incentive for massive, incredibly lucrative common stock buybacks of large US Corporations, which buoys EPS and long-term EPS growth, the drivers of common stock values.  This was all explained in a post I made on March 20, 2013, which you can access in the below link:

Common Stock Buybacks: Main Cause of US Stock Market Sharp Ascent in 2013 

Below here is the Core Adjusted Earnings of each of these 52 US Technology Corps for the 1Q 2013 and the 1Q 2012:




Core Core

1Q 1Q Adjusted Adjusted

2013 2012 Net Net

Core Core Income Income

Adjusted Adjusted Increase Increase

Net Net (Decrease) (Decrease)

Income Income Amount %

mils of $s mils of $s mils of $s
Big Technology Corps








Apple 9,547 11,622 (2,075) -18%
Microsoft 5,479 5,108 371 7%
Google 3,899 3,328 571 17%
IBM 3,376 3,265 111 3%
Oracle 3,108 3,128 (20) -1%
Cisco Systems 2,722 2,563 159 6%
Qualcomm 2,066 1,759 307 17%
Intel 2,045 2,738 (693) -25%
Hewlett Packard 1,605 1,832 (227) -12%
EMC 850 818 32 4%
Ebay 829 725 104 14%
Accenture 720 714 6 1%
Dell 702 913 (211) -23%
Western Digital 514 619 (105) -17%
Thermo Fisher Scientific 496 434 62 14%
Automatic Data Processing 483 450 33 7%
Seagate Technology 464 1,222 (758) -62%
Yahoo 420 334 86 26%
Broadcom 400 387 13 3%
Texas Instruments 362 265 97 37%
Xerox 347 319 28 9%
VMWare 319 287 32 11%
Facebook 287 312 (25) -8%
NetApp 243 216 27 13%
Agilent Technologies 222 244 (22) -9%
Nvidia 215 158 57 36%
Sandisk 207 156 51 33%
Motorola Solutions 187 189 (2) -1%
SAIC 182 106 76 72%
Adobe Systems 179 285 (106) -37%
KLA Tencor 171 216 (45) -21%
Check Point Software 159 157 2 1%
Paychex 145 135 10 7%
Maxim Integrated Products 135 100 35 35%
Analog Devices 131 139 (8) -6%
Xilinx 131 122 9 7%
Linear Technology 130 114 16 14%
Roper Industries 127 108 19 18%
Harris Corp 125 163 (38) -23%
Juniper Networks 124 84 40 48%
Autodesk 121 106 15 14%
Altera 120 116 4 3%
Amdocs 119 115 4 3%
Citrix Systems 117 111 6 5%
Cerner 117 94 23 24%
Jabil Circuit 109 123 (14) -11%
Marvell Technology 104 127 (23) -18%
Intuit 100 158 (58) -37%
Flextronics 86 166 (80) -48%
Amazon.com 82 130 (48) -37%
Teradata 73 103 (30) -29%
Applied Materials 69 240 (171) -71%





Total all 52 45,070 47,423 (2,353) -5%