Saturday, April 27, 2013

US Big Broad-Based Manufacturing Corps 1Q 2013 GAAP Pretax Income Down 6%.....US Congress Responds By Fleeing DC

I found 41 US Broad-Based Manufacturing Corps, which have filed their calendar 1Q 2013 earnings with the SEC by April 26, 2013, and which had Pretax Income of more than $100 mil in either the 1Q 2013 or the 1Q 2012.

Included in these 41 was Danaher, whose one-time Gain in the 1Q 2013 comprised the entire Pretax Income increase in the 1Q 2013 over the 1Q 2012.  Also included in these 41 was PPG Industries, whose Restructuring and Environmental Remediation Charges in the 1Q 2012 comprised the entire Pretax Income increase in the 1Q 2013 over the 1Q 2012.  Thus, I excluded both of them below.

That leaves me with 39 Broad-Based Manufacturing Corps.

These 39 US Broad-Based Manufacturing Corps generated US Generally Accepted Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) Total Pretax Income in the 1Q 2013 of $19,876 mil, which was down 5.55% from the $21,044 mil earned in the 1Q 2012.

On the other hand, these same 39 US Broad-Based Manufacturing Corps generated GAAP Total After-tax Net Income which was down by a substantially lower 0.75% in the 1Q 2013 as compared with the 1Q 2012.

So, what's up with the 4.80% positive earnings spread from the down 5.55% Pretax Income in the 1Q 2013 to the down 0.75% After-tax Net Income in the 1Q 2013?

Well, it's all about the effective income tax rate and financial engineering.

In total, these 39 US Broad-Based Manufacturing Corps slashed their effective income tax rates on a book basis from 28.9% of Pretax Income in the 1Q 2012 to 25.3% in the 1Q 2013.

Having the key US Broad-Based Manufacturing Sector generating a total decline of 5.55% in Pretax earnings in the 1Q 2013 is just horrible for the US economy.  And it's also terrible for US job creation in this critical US sector.  The key question is that, given these horrible operating results, just how much shedding of US jobs will there be in this key US Broad-Based Manufacturing Sector.  And since these largest US Broad-Based Manufacturing Corps generated such a significant Pretax Income decline in the 1Q 2013, then it only makes sense that the huge number of smaller US Manufacturing Corps will be doing likewise, and even more so.  This is flat out horrible for US job creation since in this sector is where a lot of the good-paying US jobs are now located.

So, how does the US Congress react to this horrible 1Q 2013 quarter for the critical US Broad-Based Manufacturing Sector?  Well, they flee Washington DC.

It is pretty clear that substantial fiscal stimulus to the US economy has been needed for quite some time.  So how has the US Congress responded?  Now granted the Obama Administration should have been bolder and more creative, but the US Congress has rejected nearly every recommendation made by the Obama Administration to spur the US economy and US job creation.

And so what has the US Congress done instead?  They passed an immediate severe austerity Sequester which substantially harms US economic growth, US job creation, the profits of these US Manufacturers and also the profits of US Technology Corps.

And what is the intellectual foundation that the US Congress used to pass this immediate severe austerity Sequester, which results in a substantial reduction in US jobs and US economic growth?  An economic study by two Harvard professors which concludes that when the US debt level is 90% of US GDP, that as if by magic, GDP growth drops dramatically.

And now that it has been proven that this economic study is clearly erroneous, how does the US Congress react to the complete collapse of the intellectual foundation of their immediate severe austerity Sequester initiative?  By ignoring its collapse.

Below here is the GAAP Pretax Income, GAAP Income Tax Expense, and GAAP Effective Income Tax Rates on a book basis for both the calendar 1Q 2013 as well as the 1Q 2012 for each of these 39 US Big Broad-Based Manufacturing Corps:





1Q 2013


1Q 2012

GAAP


1Q 2013 GAAP

1Q 2012 GAAP
GAAP Combined

1Q 2013 GAAP Effective
1Q 2012 GAAP Effective
Pretax Net

GAAP Income Income
GAAP Income Income
Income Income

Pretax Tax Tax
Pretax Tax Tax
Increase Increase

Income Expense Rate
Income Expense Rate
(Decrease) (Decrease)

mil $s mil $s

mil $s mil $s

mil $s mil $s
Broad-Based Manufacturing Corps




















Ford Motor 2,123 511 24.1%
2,038 640 31.4%
85 214
United Technologies 1,770 418 23.6%
1,584 320 20.2%
186 88
3M 1,617 470 29.1%
1,603 462 28.8%
14 6
Boeing 1,438 332 23.1%
1,463 539 36.8%
(25) 182
Honeywell 1,260 291 23.1%
1,122 297 26.5%
138 144
Caterpillar 1,127 246 21.8%
2,298 689 30.0%
(1,171) (728)
Lockheed Martin 1,025 264 25.8%
951 283 29.8%
74 93
Deere 946 289 30.5%
800 266 33.3%
146 123
General Dynamics 824 253 30.7%
821 257 31.3%
3 7
Northrop Grumman 712 223 31.3%
756 250 33.1%
(44) (17)
Raytheon 663 167 25.2%
666 212 31.8%
(3) 42
Illinois Tool Works 646 187 28.9%
652 188 28.8%
(6) (5)
Corning 528 34 6.4%
592 118 19.9%
(64) 20
Johnson Controls 395 217 54.9%
519 102 19.7%
(124) (239)
Parker Hannifin 339 82 24.2%
401 88 21.9%
(62) (56)
Harley-Davidson 339 114 33.6%
266 94 35.3%
73 53
TE Connectivity Ltd 338 60 17.8%
359 91 25.3%
(21) 10
Paccar 337 101 30.0%
479 152 31.7%
(142) (91)
L-3 Communications 273 79 28.9%
283 96 33.9%
(10) 7
Dover 267 70 26.2%
260 74 28.5%
7 11
Alcoa 234 64 27.4%
138 39 28.3%
96 71
Rockwell Automation 227 51 22.5%
223 56 25.1%
4 9
Joy Global 206 64 31.1%
198 55 27.8%
8 (1)
Borg Warner 200 51 25.5%
221 58 26.2%
(21) (14)
Rockwell Collins 197 36 18.3%
213 52 24.4%
(16) 0
Amphenol 194 41 21.1%
174 46 26.4%
20 25
Whirlpool 190 (67) -35.3%
133 36 27.1%
57 160
Ametek 176 51 29.0%
162 52 32.1%
14 15
Nucor 153 43 28.1%
225 62 27.6%
(72) (53)
Flowserve 148 49 33.1%
129 36 27.9%
19 6
Lear 147 38 25.9%
174 39 22.4%
(27) (26)
Textron 143 28 19.6%
177 57 32.2%
(34) (5)
Ingersoll-Rand 126 24 19.0%
142 38 26.8%
(16) (2)
Timken 114 39 34.2%
238 82 34.5%
(124) (81)
Pall Corp 102 22 21.6%
98 23 23.5%
4 5
Ball Corp 98 18 18.4%
122 28 23.0%
(24) (14)
Crown Holdings 93 24 25.8%
122 32 26.2%
(29) (21)
Stanley Black & Decker 90 9 10.0%
135 30 22.2%
(45) (24)
Dana Holding 71 27 38.0%
107 37 34.6%
(36) (26)











Total all 39 19,876 5,020 25.3%
21,044 6,076 28.9%
(1,168) (112)











Total Pretax Income % Decrease -5.55%



















Total After-tax Combined Net Income % Decrease -0.75%



















= Positive Income Tax Earnings Spread 4.80%